QUEENS UNIVERSITY
ROYALSQUC
17-12 | Road
96
EASTERN KENTUCKY
COLONELSEKU
11-18 | Home
79
AI Model Win Probability
ROYALS
0%
COLONELS
100%
ROYALS
--
COLONELS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Queens University)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around QUC -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (QUC)
QUC By 1-7 points
21.6%
QUC By 8-14 points
27.4%
EKU By 1-7 points
9.3%
EKU By 8-14 points
2.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Queens University
80
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Eastern Kentucky
69
EASTERN KENTUCKY
Simulated Score
Queens University
73
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Eastern Kentucky
82
EASTERN KENTUCKY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Royals
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Colonels
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Royals (+2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Colonels (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u164.5
Loss
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim
u164.5
Win
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 25, 2026
QUC @ EKU
96 - 79
Jan 1, 2026
EKU @ QUC
89 - 91
Feb 15, 2025
QUC @ EKU
80 - 86
Feb 1, 2024
EKU @ QUC
76 - 94
Feb 9, 2023
EKU @ QUC
84 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+33.0% more
Queens University: 3.5
vs
Eastern Kentucky: 2.3
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.4%
Queens University: 52.6%
vs
Eastern Kentucky: 46.3%
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.8%
Queens University: 76.0%
vs
Eastern Kentucky: 70.2%
Steals (L5)
+29.1% more
Eastern Kentucky: 8.1
vs
Queens University: 6.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
QUC Score
80.0
96
EKU Score
69.0
79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.4 / 32.7
35.0 / 45.0
Assists
16.3 / 14.8
13.0 / 15.0
Blocks
2.3 / 3.5
6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
46.3 / 52.6
44.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
70.2 / 76.0
71.0 / 79.0
Rebounding
31.6 / 30.6
36.0 / 33.0
Steals
8.1 / 6.3
7.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
10.0 / 9.3
11.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
QUC
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: +0.6
EKU
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -1.6
ATS +/-: -3.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
QUC
Advantage
14-19-1
(42.4%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: +0.6
EKU
10-19-1
(34.5%)
Margin: -1.6
ATS +/-: -3.7
⚖️ Over/Under
QUC
22-12-0
O: 64.7% / U: 35.3%
Total +/-: +5.9
EKU
19-11-0
O: 63.3% / U: 36.7%
Total +/-: +4.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EKU
QUC
EKU
QUC
ML
44%
14-18
71%
25-10
69%
22-10
71%
24-10
ATS
56%
18-14
86%
30-5
69%
22-10
71%
24-10
TTL
53%
17-15
47%
16-18-1
100%
32-0
100%
34-0
