AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN HURRICANE
0%
GREEN WAVE
100%
GOLDEN HURRICANE
--
GREEN WAVE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
TULANE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TULN +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TULN)
TLSA By 1-7 points
27.2%
TLSA By 8-14 points
20.1%
TULN By 1-7 points
21.6%
TULN By 8-14 points
10.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Tulsa
77
TULSA
Tulane
74
TULANE
Simulated Score
Tulsa
72
TULSA
Tulane
78
TULANE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Golden Hurricane
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Green Wave
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Green Wave (+5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
D
Sim
Green Wave (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u156.5
Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim
u156.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 25, 2026
TLSA @ TULN
90 - 56
Mar 1, 2025
TULN @ TLSA
79 - 77
Feb 2, 2025
TLSA @ TULN
56 - 59
Jan 14, 2024
TULN @ TLSA
94 - 87
Jan 21, 2023
TULN @ TLSA
79 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+21.9% more
Tulsa: 17.2
vs
Tulane: 13.4
Rebounding (L5)
+8.9% more
Tulsa: 36.6
vs
Tulane: 33.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.1%
Tulsa: 38.1%
vs
Tulane: 35.0%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.2%
Tulsa: 47.1%
vs
Tulane: 44.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TLSA Score
77.0
90
TULN Score
74.0
56
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.0 / 38.1
27.0 / 44.0
Assists
13.4 / 17.2
11.0 / 20.0
Blocks
5.3 / 2.1
6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
44.9 / 47.1
38.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
77.5 / 75.2
63.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
33.4 / 36.6
29.0 / 42.0
Steals
7.3 / 6.8
9.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
11.1 / 9.7
13.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TLSA
Advantage
30-8-0
(79.0%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: +4.3
TULN
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: -2.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TLSA
Advantage
20-15-1
(57.1%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: +4.3
TULN
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: -2.7
⚖️ Over/Under
TLSA
24-12-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3%
Total +/-: +4.8
TULN
13-18-1
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: -1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TULN
TLSA
TULN
TLSA
ML
70%
23-10
66%
25-13
47%
15-17
64%
23-13
ATS
62%
20-12-1
74%
28-10
47%
15-17
64%
23-13
TTL
55%
18-15
58%
22-16
100%
32-0
100%
36-0