GEORGIA SOUTHERN
EAGLESGASO
15-14 | Road
66
JAMES MADISON
DUKESJMU
16-13 | Home
82
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
0%
DUKES
100%
EAGLES
--
DUKES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
166.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
JAMES MADISON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around JMU +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (JMU)
GASO By 1-7 points
26.8%
GASO By 8-14 points
18.6%
JMU By 1-7 points
23.0%
JMU By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Georgia Southern
84
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
James Madison
82
JAMES MADISON
Simulated Score
Georgia Southern
65
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
James Madison
78
JAMES MADISON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Eagles
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Dukes
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Dukes (+5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim
Dukes (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o153.5
Loss
Proj Total: 166.0
D
Sim
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 25, 2026
GASO @ JMU
66 - 82
Dec 20, 2025
JMU @ GASO
92 - 96
Feb 22, 2025
GASO @ JMU
73 - 78
Feb 13, 2025
JMU @ GASO
77 - 72
Feb 24, 2024
JMU @ GASO
80 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+26.7% more
Georgia Southern: 3.2
vs
James Madison: 2.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.8%
Georgia Southern: 77.8%
vs
James Madison: 70.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.5%
Georgia Southern: 34.1%
vs
James Madison: 27.6%
Rebounding (L5)
+15.1% more
James Madison: 37.9
vs
Georgia Southern: 32.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GASO Score
84.0
66
JMU Score
82.0
82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.6 / 34.1
50.0 / 22.0
Assists
9.8 / 10.3
12.0 / 7.0
Blocks
2.3 / 3.2
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
48.2 / 40.7
54.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
70.9 / 77.8
81.0 / 72.0
Rebounding
37.9 / 32.9
37.0 / 25.0
Steals
6.0 / 5.9
6.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
10.3 / 10.7
17.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GASO
Advantage
21-16-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-: -0.1
JMU
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GASO
Advantage
17-18-0
(48.6%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-: -0.1
JMU
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
GASO
18-17-0
O: 51.4% / U: 48.6%
Total +/-: +2.6
JMU
15-16-1
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6%
Total +/-: +3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
JMU
GASO
JMU
GASO
ML
64%
21-12
56%
20-16
66%
21-11
58%
19-14
ATS
67%
22-11
64%
23-13
66%
21-11
58%
19-14
TTL
67%
22-11
61%
22-14
100%
32-0
100%
33-0
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