Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bulldogs @ Commodores UGA @ VAN

GEORGIA

BULLDOGSUGA

19-8  |  Road

80
FINAL
Wed, Feb 25 • 7:00 PM ET
Memorial Gymnasium (TN)
View Odds Details →

VANDERBILT

COMMODORESVAN

21-6  |  Home

88
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
📊
COMMODORES
0%
BULLDOGS --
COMMODORES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
VANDERBILT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Vanderbilt)
BulldogsUGA (-3.5) 0 CommodoresVAN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bulldogs Cover

46.0%

Commodores Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around VAN -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VAN)

UGA By 1-7 points

24.3%

UGA By 8-14 points

13.7%

VAN By 1-7 points

26.2%

VAN By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
70
GEORGIA
71
VANDERBILT
Simulated Score
76
GEORGIA
68
VANDERBILT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Commodores Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulldogs Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Commodores (+7.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Bulldogs (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u164.5 Loss
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim u164.5 Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 25, 2026 UGA @ VAN 80 - 88
Mar 8, 2025 VAN @ UGA 68 - 79
Feb 21, 2024 UGA @ VAN 76 - 64
Jan 21, 2023 VAN @ UGA 85 - 82
Mar 9, 2022 UGA @ VAN 51 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +28.9% more
Vanderbilt: 5.7 vs Georgia: 4.4
Turnovers (L5) +24.8% more
Vanderbilt: 9.9 vs Georgia: 7.9
Rebounding (L5) +9.7% more
Vanderbilt: 33.5 vs Georgia: 30.5
Assists (L5) +17.4% more
Georgia: 15.7 vs Vanderbilt: 12.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UGA Score 70.0 80
VAN Score 71.0 88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.1 / 41.9 27.0 / 42.0
Assists 12.9 / 15.7 16.0 / 8.0
Blocks 5.7 / 4.4 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 43.6 / 49.8 49.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 75.8 / 76.4 88.0 / 76.0
Rebounding 33.5 / 30.5 36.0 / 29.0
Steals 6.8 / 6.8 5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 9.9 / 7.9 5.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
9%TICKETS91%
26%MONEY74%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
33%MONEY67%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
73%MONEY27%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UGA
22-11-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 9.6 ATS +/-: +0.3
VAN Advantage
27-9-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 10.8 ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UGA
15-17-1 (46.9%)
Margin: 9.6 ATS +/-: +0.3
VAN Advantage
18-18-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 10.8 ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
UGA
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5% Total +/-: +4.9
VAN
17-19-0
O: 47.2% / U: 52.8% Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VAN
UGA
VAN
UGA
ML
69% 25-11
67% 22-11
56% 18-14
56% 18-14
ATS
78% 28-8
61% 20-13
56% 18-14
56% 18-14
TTL
58% 21-15
64% 21-12
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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