MARYLAND
TERRAPINSMD
11-16 | Road
61
NEBRASKA
CORNHUSKERSNEB
23-4 | Home
74
AI Model Win Probability
TERRAPINS
100%
CORNHUSKERS
0%
TERRAPINS
--
CORNHUSKERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
138.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
NEBRASKA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Nebraska)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NEB -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NEB)
MD By 1-7 points
4.0%
MD By 8-14 points
0.8%
NEB By 1-7 points
13.7%
NEB By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Maryland
61
MARYLAND
Nebraska
77
NEBRASKA
Simulated Score
Maryland
72
MARYLAND
Nebraska
75
NEBRASKA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cornhuskers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cornhuskers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cornhuskers (+16.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim
Cornhuskers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u139.5
Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Sim
u139.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 25, 2026
MD @ NEB
61 - 74
Feb 13, 2025
MD @ NEB
83 - 75
Jan 19, 2025
NEB @ MD
66 - 69
Jan 27, 2024
NEB @ MD
51 - 73
Feb 19, 2023
MD @ NEB
66 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+97.5% more
Nebraska: 7.8
vs
Maryland: 4.0
Assists (L5)
+54.4% more
Nebraska: 17.6
vs
Maryland: 11.4
Blocks (L5)
+11.8% more
Nebraska: 3.1
vs
Maryland: 2.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.1%
Nebraska: 76.9%
vs
Maryland: 69.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MD Score
61.0
61
NEB Score
77.0
74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.5 / 34.6
34.0 / 33.0
Assists
17.6 / 11.4
18.0 / 15.0
Blocks
3.1 / 2.8
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
46.6 / 42.0
43.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
76.9 / 69.8
75.0 / 88.0
Rebounding
33.0 / 35.3
35.0 / 34.0
Steals
7.8 / 4.0
7.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
11.9 / 11.2
6.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MD
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -6.9
ATS +/-: -2.6
NEB
Advantage
28-7-0
(80.0%)
Margin: 10.8
ATS +/-: +2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MD
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: -6.9
ATS +/-: -2.6
NEB
Advantage
19-15-1
(55.9%)
Margin: 10.8
ATS +/-: +2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
MD
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: -0.8
NEB
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6%
Total +/-: -6.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NEB
MD
NEB
MD
ML
51%
18-17
70%
23-10
62%
21-13
67%
22-11
ATS
54%
19-16
64%
21-12
62%
21-13
67%
22-11
TTL
63%
22-13
64%
21-12
100%
34-0
100%
33-0
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