BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
37-19 | Road
97
PHOENIX
SUNSPHX
33-25 | Home
81
AI Model Win Probability
CELTICS
100%
SUNS
0%
CELTICS
--
SUNS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
228.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
PHOENIX
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Phoenix)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PHX -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHX)
BOS By 1-7 points
23.0%
BOS By 8-14 points
12.2%
PHX By 1-7 points
26.8%
PHX By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
113
BOSTON
Phoenix
115
PHOENIX
Simulated Score
Boston
112
BOSTON
Phoenix
118
PHOENIX
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Suns
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Suns
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Suns (+5.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim
Suns (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o207.0
Loss
Proj Total: 228.0
D
Sim
u207.0
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 16, 2026
PHX @ BOS
112 - 120
Feb 24, 2026
BOS @ PHX
97 - 81
Apr 4, 2025
PHX @ BOS
103 - 123
Mar 26, 2025
BOS @ PHX
132 - 102
Mar 14, 2024
PHX @ BOS
112 - 127
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+57.5% more
Phoenix: 10.4
vs
Boston: 6.6
Turnovers (L5)
+16.1% more
Phoenix: 15.4
vs
Boston: 13.3
Blocks (L5)
+36.0% more
Boston: 5.6
vs
Phoenix: 3.6
Assists (L5)
+27.5% more
Boston: 28.6
vs
Phoenix: 20.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
113.0
97
PHX Score
115.0
81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.7 / 36.7
33.0 / 28.0
Assists
20.8 / 28.6
18.0 / 24.0
Blocks
3.6 / 5.6
5.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
38.7 / 47.6
37.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
79.9 / 79.4
85.0 / 89.0
Rebounding
47.7 / 50.1
34.0 / 61.0
Steals
10.4 / 6.6
4.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
15.4 / 13.3
8.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BOS
Advantage
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
PHX
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
PHX
50-38-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
PHX
40-48-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHX
BOS
PHX
BOS
ML
57%
60-45
57%
61-46
51%
45-43
53%
47-41
ATS
58%
59-43-3
59%
61-43-3
51%
45-43
53%
47-41
TTL
59%
61-42-2
56%
60-47
100%
88-0
100%
88-0
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