Home / NBA Projections NBA / Hornets @ Bulls CHA @ CHI

CHARLOTTE

HORNETSCHA

27-31  |  Road

131
FINAL
Tue, Feb 24 • 8:00 PM ET
United Center
View Odds Details →

CHICAGO

BULLSCHI

24-34  |  Home

99
AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
0%
📊
BULLS
100%
HORNETS --
BULLS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
241.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+5.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
HornetsCHA (-3.5) 0 BullsCHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hornets Cover

30.9%

Bulls Cover

69.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CHI +5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)

CHA By 1-7 points

27.2%

CHA By 8-14 points

23.0%

CHI By 1-7 points

18.6%

CHI By 8-14 points

8.0%

AI Model Projected Score
123
CHARLOTTE
118
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
108
CHARLOTTE
115
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Hornets Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulls Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bulls (+8) Win
Proj Spread: +5.0
D
Sim Bulls (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o231.5 Loss
Proj Total: 241.0
D
Sim u231.5 Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 24, 2026 CHA @ CHI 131 - 99
Jan 3, 2026 CHA @ CHI 112 - 99
Dec 12, 2025 CHI @ CHA 129 - 126
Nov 28, 2025 CHI @ CHA 116 - 123
Apr 6, 2025 CHI @ CHA 131 - 117
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +8.5%
Charlotte: 84.5% vs Chicago: 76.0%
Rebounding (L5) +8.2% more
Charlotte: 48.5 vs Chicago: 44.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +6.8%
Charlotte: 42.4% vs Chicago: 35.6%
Blocks (L5) +38.2% more
Chicago: 6.0 vs Charlotte: 4.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHA Score 123.0 131
CHI Score 118.0 99
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.6 / 42.4 40.0 / 44.0
Assists 24.9 / 25.4 18.0 / 31.0
Blocks 6.0 / 4.3 1.0 / 8.0
Field Goal % 42.8 / 43.8 43.0 / 52.0
Free Throw % 76.0 / 84.5 87.0 / 89.0
Rebounding 44.6 / 48.5 33.0 / 46.0
Steals 8.6 / 7.3 9.0 / 13.0
Turnovers 18.8 / 14.7 21.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
86%TICKETS14%
60%MONEY40%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
57%MONEY43%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
72%MONEY28%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHA Advantage
45-39-0 (53.6%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +4.4
CHI
31-51-0 (37.8%)
Margin: -5.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHA Advantage
50-34-0 (59.5%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +4.4
CHI
39-43-0 (47.6%)
Margin: -5.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9% Total +/-: -3.4
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7% Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
CHA
CHI
CHA
ML
56% 54-42
61% 60-39
57% 46-35
48% 40-44
ATS
65% 62-33-1
60% 59-40
57% 46-35
48% 40-44
TTL
58% 56-40
58% 57-42
100% 81-0
100% 84-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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