Home / NBA Projections NBA / Magic @ Lakers ORL @ LAL

ORLANDO

MAGICORL

30-26  |  Road

110
FINAL
Tue, Feb 24 • 10:30 PM ET
crypto.com Arena
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

LAKERSLAL

34-22  |  Home

109
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
0%
📊
LAKERS
100%
MAGIC --
LAKERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
221.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
MagicORL (-3.5) 0 LakersLAL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Magic Cover

38.2%

Lakers Cover

61.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LAL +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAL)

ORL By 1-7 points

27.2%

ORL By 8-14 points

20.1%

LAL By 1-7 points

21.6%

LAL By 8-14 points

10.7%

AI Model Projected Score
112
ORLANDO
109
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
102
ORLANDO
108
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Magic Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Lakers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Lakers (+6) Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
D
Sim Lakers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u229.5 Win
Proj Total: 221.0
D
Sim u229.5 Win
Proj Total: 210.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 21, 2026 LAL @ ORL 105 - 104
Feb 24, 2026 ORL @ LAL 110 - 109
Mar 24, 2025 LAL @ ORL 106 - 118
Nov 21, 2024 ORL @ LAL 119 - 118
Nov 4, 2023 LAL @ ORL 101 - 120
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +38.5% more
Orlando: 6.6 vs Los Angeles: 4.0
Steals (L5) +17.7% more
Orlando: 9.2 vs Los Angeles: 7.6
Rebounding (L5) +12.3% more
Orlando: 43.1 vs Los Angeles: 37.8
Free Throw % (L5) +6.1%
Orlando: 80.9% vs Los Angeles: 74.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ORL Score 112.0 110
LAL Score 109.0 109
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.1 / 36.2 31.0 / 24.0
Assists 25.6 / 26.2 24.0 / 26.0
Blocks 4.0 / 6.6 8.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 47.8 / 46.3 48.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 74.8 / 80.9 71.0 / 74.0
Rebounding 37.8 / 43.1 39.0 / 47.0
Steals 7.6 / 9.2 6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 12.4 / 12.6 12.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
15%TICKETS85%
36%MONEY64%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
77%MONEY23%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
66%MONEY34%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL
49-42-0 (53.8%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -1.2
LAL Advantage
57-35-0 (62.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL
43-48-0 (47.3%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -1.2
LAL Advantage
51-41-0 (55.4%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +0.7
LAL
46-46-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAL
ORL
LAL
ORL
ML
61% 68-43
61% 65-42
54% 49-42
56% 51-40
ATS
61% 67-43-1
64% 68-38-1
54% 49-42
56% 51-40
TTL
61% 66-43-2
57% 61-46
100% 91-0
100% 91-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Matt Barnes: Clippers Are Cursed, Urges Steve Ballmer to Rebrand
tmz 1 hour, 32 minutes ago
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
yahoo 1 hour, 40 minutes ago
Luka Doncic Embraces Lakers Legacy: 'It's an Honor, Not Pressure…
yahoo 7 hours, 30 minutes ago
Desmond Bane Returns to FedExForum as Grizzlies Host Magic in Pr…
actionnews5 1 day, 1 hour ago
Luka Doncic Primed for MVP-Caliber Season with Lakers After Offs…
nypost 1 day, 1 hour ago