Home / NBA Projections NBA / Knicks @ Cavaliers NY @ CLE

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

37-21  |  Road

94
FINAL
Tue, Feb 24 • 7:30 PM ET
Rocket Arena
View Odds Details →

CLEVELAND

CAVALIERSCLE

36-22  |  Home

109
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
100%
📊
CAVALIERS
0%
KNICKS --
CAVALIERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
246.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Cleveland)
KnicksNY (-3.5) 0 CavaliersCLE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Knicks Cover

27.4%

Cavaliers Cover

72.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CLE -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)

NY By 1-7 points

16.9%

NY By 8-14 points

6.8%

CLE By 1-7 points

26.8%

CLE By 8-14 points

24.3%

AI Model Projected Score
120
NEW YORK
126
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
105
NEW YORK
108
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cavaliers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cavaliers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cavaliers (-4) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim Cavaliers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o232.0 Loss
Proj Total: 246.0
D
Sim u232.0 Win
Proj Total: 213.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
May 25, 2026 NY @ CLE 130 - 93
May 23, 2026 NY @ CLE 121 - 108
May 21, 2026 CLE @ NY 93 - 109
May 19, 2026 CLE @ NY 104 - 115
Feb 24, 2026 NY @ CLE 94 - 109
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +26.3% more
Cleveland: 4.5 vs New York: 3.6
Turnovers (L5) +19.4% more
Cleveland: 15.0 vs New York: 12.6
Field Goal % (L5) +3.1%
Cleveland: 50.5% vs New York: 47.4%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.8%
Cleveland: 37.9% vs New York: 35.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NY Score 120.0 94
CLE Score 126.0 109
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.9 / 35.1 37.0 / 27.0
Assists 27.4 / 27.9 23.0 / 23.0
Blocks 4.5 / 3.6 6.0 / 8.0
Field Goal % 50.5 / 47.4 43.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 78.3 / 76.1 73.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 44.7 / 42.6 44.0 / 44.0
Steals 9.1 / 9.1 11.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 15.0 / 12.6 11.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
45%MONEY55%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
47%MONEY53%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
72%MONEY28%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
CLE
60-40-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
CLE
40-60-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0% Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
NY
CLE
NY
ML
60% 69-46
61% 114-72
56% 55-44
56% 57-45
ATS
67% 75-37-3
67% 124-62
56% 55-44
56% 57-45
TTL
59% 68-47
72% 133-53
100% 99-0
100% 102-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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