WYOMING
COWBOYSWYO
15-12 | Road
62
BOISE STATE
BRONCOSBOIS
16-11 | Home
72
AI Model Win Probability
COWBOYS
100%
BRONCOS
0%
COWBOYS
--
BRONCOS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
148.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
BOISE STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Boise State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BOIS -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOIS)
WYO By 1-7 points
16.9%
WYO By 8-14 points
6.8%
BOIS By 1-7 points
26.8%
BOIS By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Wyoming
71
WYOMING
Boise State
77
BOISE STATE
Simulated Score
Wyoming
68
WYOMING
Boise State
76
BOISE STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Broncos
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Broncos
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Broncos (+8.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Broncos (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o146.5
Loss
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Sim
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 24, 2026
WYO @ BOIS
62 - 72
Jan 20, 2026
BOIS @ WYO
81 - 65
Jan 14, 2025
WYO @ BOIS
55 - 96
Dec 31, 2024
BOIS @ WYO
67 - 58
Feb 24, 2024
BOIS @ WYO
92 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+61.3% more
Boise State: 2.2
vs
Wyoming: 1.4
Turnovers (L5)
+11.2% more
Boise State: 10.2
vs
Wyoming: 9.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.8%
Boise State: 84.9%
vs
Wyoming: 76.1%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.8%
Boise State: 48.2%
vs
Wyoming: 43.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WYO Score
71.0
62
BOIS Score
77.0
72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.0 / 33.5
24.0 / 27.0
Assists
14.0 / 14.6
11.0 / 12.0
Blocks
2.2 / 1.4
7.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
48.2 / 43.4
47.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
84.9 / 76.1
89.0 / 78.0
Rebounding
32.6 / 32.9
35.0 / 23.0
Steals
3.4 / 6.1
3.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
10.2 / 9.2
12.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WYO
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
BOIS
Advantage
20-12-0
(62.5%)
Margin: 4.7
ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WYO
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
BOIS
Advantage
17-13-0
(56.7%)
Margin: 4.7
ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
WYO
16-16-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.7
BOIS
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: +3.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOIS
WYO
BOIS
WYO
ML
50%
16-16
52%
17-16
61%
19-12
70%
23-10
ATS
50%
16-16
64%
21-12
61%
19-12
70%
23-10
TTL
56%
18-14
64%
21-12
100%
31-0
100%
33-0
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