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OLD DOMINION

MONARCHSODU

10-19  |  Road

88
FINAL
Tue, Feb 24 • 7:00 PM ET
Cam Henderson Center
View Odds Details →

MARSHALL

THUNDERING HERDMRSH

18-11  |  Home

97
AI Model Win Probability
MONARCHS
100%
📊
THUNDERING HERD
0%
MONARCHS --
THUNDERING HERD --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
MARSHALL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Marshall)
MonarchsODU (-3.5) 0 Thundering HerdMRSH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Monarchs Cover

24.2%

Thundering Herd Cover

75.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MRSH -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MRSH)

ODU By 1-7 points

15.3%

ODU By 8-14 points

5.8%

MRSH By 1-7 points

26.2%

MRSH By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
75
OLD DOMINION
82
MARSHALL
Simulated Score
70
OLD DOMINION
75
MARSHALL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Thundering Herd Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Thundering Herd Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Thundering Herd (+7.5) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Thundering Herd (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u159.5 Loss
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Sim u159.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 24, 2026 ODU @ MRSH 88 - 97
Feb 11, 2026 MRSH @ ODU 81 - 79
Feb 25, 2025 ODU @ MRSH 66 - 83
Feb 20, 2025 MRSH @ ODU 81 - 77
Feb 1, 2024 ODU @ MRSH 83 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +8.8% more
Marshall: 34.3 vs Old Dominion: 31.5
Free Throw % (L5) +1.6%
Marshall: 76.4% vs Old Dominion: 74.8%
Turnovers (L5) +30.5% more
Old Dominion: 12.6 vs Marshall: 8.8
Blocks (L5) +21.6% more
Old Dominion: 4.5 vs Marshall: 3.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ODU Score 75.0 88
MRSH Score 82.0 97
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.2 / 41.8 32.0 / 22.0
Assists 14.2 / 14.4 22.0 / 8.0
Blocks 3.5 / 4.5 7.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 46.4 / 48.6 60.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 76.4 / 74.8 80.0 / 90.0
Rebounding 34.3 / 31.5 31.0 / 34.0
Steals 6.7 / 6.7 4.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 8.8 / 12.6 7.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
9%MONEY91%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
71%MONEY29%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
41%MONEY59%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ODU
12-21-0 (36.4%)
Margin: -1.7 ATS +/-: +0.7
MRSH Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 3.1 ATS +/-: -1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ODU Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -1.7 ATS +/-: +0.7
MRSH
10-20-1 (33.3%)
Margin: 3.1 ATS +/-: -1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
ODU
21-10-1
O: 67.7% / U: 32.3% Total +/-: +3.0
MRSH
19-11-1
O: 63.3% / U: 36.7% Total +/-: +4.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MRSH
ODU
MRSH
ODU
ML
70% 21-9
52% 17-16
62% 18-11
67% 22-11
ATS
70% 21-9
70% 23-10
62% 18-11
67% 22-11
TTL
50% 15-15
70% 23-10
100% 29-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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