BUFFALO
BULLSBUF
16-11 | Road
85
AKRON
ZIPSAKR
22-5 | Home
99
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
100%
ZIPS
0%
BULLS
--
ZIPS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
AKRON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Akron)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around AKR -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AKR)
BUF By 1-7 points
20.1%
BUF By 8-14 points
9.3%
AKR By 1-7 points
27.4%
AKR By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Buffalo
68
BUFFALO
Akron
72
AKRON
Simulated Score
Buffalo
68
BUFFALO
Akron
75
AKRON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Zips
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Zips
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Zips (+15.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Zips (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u160.5
Loss
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim
u160.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 12, 2026
BUF @ AKR
70 - 73
Feb 24, 2026
BUF @ AKR
85 - 99
Jan 20, 2026
AKR @ BUF
82 - 63
Mar 7, 2025
BUF @ AKR
70 - 88
Jan 21, 2025
AKR @ BUF
90 - 58
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+34.4% more
Akron: 38.4
vs
Buffalo: 28.6
Assists (L5)
+11.1% more
Akron: 16.5
vs
Buffalo: 14.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+1.7%
Akron: 75.8%
vs
Buffalo: 74.1%
Steals (L5)
+27.4% more
Buffalo: 8.6
vs
Akron: 6.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BUF Score
68.0
85
AKR Score
72.0
99
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.7 / 40.7
43.0 / 27.0
Assists
16.5 / 14.8
18.0 / 11.0
Blocks
2.9 / 3.2
0.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
46.0 / 46.1
55.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
75.8 / 74.1
90.0 / 79.0
Rebounding
38.4 / 28.6
38.0 / 37.0
Steals
6.2 / 8.6
8.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
9.7 / 11.4
17.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BUF
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: +1.8
AKR
Advantage
29-6-0
(82.9%)
Margin: 13.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BUF
Advantage
18-12-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: +1.8
AKR
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 13.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
BUF
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +2.6
AKR
15-17-1
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AKR
BUF
AKR
BUF
ML
71%
24-10
45%
14-17
65%
22-12
45%
14-17
ATS
76%
26-8
55%
17-14
65%
22-12
45%
14-17
TTL
59%
20-14
48%
15-16
100%
34-0
100%
31-0
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