Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Golden Eagles @ Hoyas MARQ @ GTWN

MARQUETTE

GOLDEN EAGLESMARQ

9-18  |  Road

76
FINAL
Tue, Feb 24 • 7:00 PM ET
Capital One Arena
View Odds Details →

GEORGETOWN

HOYASGTWN

13-14  |  Home

60
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN EAGLES
0%
📊
HOYAS
100%
GOLDEN EAGLES --
HOYAS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
GEORGETOWN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Golden EaglesMARQ (-3.5) 0 HoyasGTWN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Eagles Cover

46.0%

Hoyas Cover

54.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around GTWN +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GTWN)

MARQ By 1-7 points

26.2%

MARQ By 8-14 points

16.9%

GTWN By 1-7 points

24.3%

GTWN By 8-14 points

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
72
MARQUETTE
71
GEORGETOWN
Simulated Score
75
MARQUETTE
68
GEORGETOWN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Golden Eagles Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Eagles Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Hoyas (+2.5) Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim Golden Eagles (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 24, 2026 MARQ @ GTWN 76 - 60
Dec 17, 2025 GTWN @ MARQ 78 - 69
Mar 1, 2025 MARQ @ GTWN 76 - 61
Jan 7, 2025 GTWN @ MARQ 66 - 74
Feb 3, 2024 MARQ @ GTWN 91 - 57
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +28.3% more
Marquette: 7.7 vs Georgetown: 5.5
Assists (L5) +22.5% more
Marquette: 16.4 vs Georgetown: 12.7
Blocks (L5) +10.9% more
Marquette: 3.4 vs Georgetown: 3.0
Field Goal % (L5) +6.3%
Marquette: 47.3% vs Georgetown: 41.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MARQ Score 72.0 76
GTWN Score 71.0 60
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.8 / 34.5 16.0 / 33.0
Assists 12.7 / 16.4 15.0 / 14.0
Blocks 3.0 / 3.4 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 41.0 / 47.3 38.0 / 51.0
Free Throw % 69.2 / 71.8 77.0 / 55.0
Rebounding 34.5 / 32.6 41.0 / 31.0
Steals 5.5 / 7.7 5.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 11.3 / 11.5 15.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
24%TICKETS76%
28%MONEY72%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
46%MONEY54%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
55%MONEY45%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MARQ
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-: -1.5
GTWN Advantage
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MARQ
12-19-1 (38.7%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-: -1.5
GTWN Advantage
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
MARQ
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: -1.5
GTWN
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5% Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GTWN
MARQ
GTWN
MARQ
ML
67% 22-11
59% 19-13
73% 22-8
62% 20-12
ATS
58% 19-14
53% 17-15
73% 22-8
62% 20-12
TTL
58% 19-14
50% 16-16
100% 30-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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