AUBURN
TIGERSAUB
15-12 | Road
79
OKLAHOMA
SOONERSOU
13-14 | Home
91
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
SOONERS
0%
TIGERS
--
SOONERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
158.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
OKLAHOMA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Oklahoma)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around OU -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OU)
AUB By 1-7 points
23.0%
AUB By 8-14 points
12.2%
OU By 1-7 points
26.8%
OU By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Auburn
78
AUBURN
Oklahoma
80
OKLAHOMA
Simulated Score
Auburn
75
AUBURN
Oklahoma
83
OKLAHOMA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Sooners
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sooners
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Sooners (+3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim
Sooners (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o157.5
Win
Proj Total: 158.0
D
Sim
u157.5
Win
Proj Total: 158.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 24, 2026
AUB @ OU
79 - 91
Feb 4, 2025
OU @ AUB
70 - 98
Jan 29, 2022
OU @ AUB
68 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+17.3% more
Oklahoma: 10.2
vs
Auburn: 8.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.3%
Oklahoma: 40.1%
vs
Auburn: 33.8%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.0%
Oklahoma: 43.8%
vs
Auburn: 40.9%
Steals (L5)
+31.6% more
Auburn: 6.5
vs
Oklahoma: 4.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
AUB Score
78.0
79
OU Score
80.0
91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.1 / 33.8
68.0 / 42.0
Assists
11.6 / 11.3
12.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.2 / 3.7
6.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
43.8 / 40.9
53.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
77.0 / 79.5
72.0 / 78.0
Rebounding
32.1 / 35.1
28.0 / 35.0
Steals
4.5 / 6.5
10.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
10.2 / 8.7
9.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
AUB
Advantage
22-16-0
(57.9%)
Margin: 4.2
ATS +/-: -1.5
OU
21-16-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: +0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
AUB
15-23-0
(39.5%)
Margin: 4.2
ATS +/-: -1.5
OU
Advantage
17-19-1
(47.2%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: +0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
AUB
22-16-0
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +4.2
OU
19-18-0
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7%
Total +/-: +1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OU
AUB
OU
AUB
ML
78%
28-8
58%
22-16
59%
20-14
75%
24-8
ATS
72%
26-10
74%
28-10
59%
20-14
75%
24-8
TTL
75%
27-9
53%
20-18
100%
34-0
100%
32-0
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