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IOWA STATE

CYCLONESISU

23-4  |  Road

75
FINAL
Tue, Feb 24 • 9:00 PM ET
Jon M. Huntsman Center
View Odds Details →

UTAH

UTESUTAH

10-17  |  Home

59
AI Model Win Probability
CYCLONES
100%
📊
UTES
0%
CYCLONES --
UTES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Utah)
CyclonesISU (-3.5) 0 UtesUTAH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cyclones Cover

42.1%

Utes Cover

57.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UTAH -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTAH)

ISU By 1-7 points

23.0%

ISU By 8-14 points

12.2%

UTAH By 1-7 points

26.8%

UTAH By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
72
IOWA STATE
74
UTAH
Simulated Score
68
IOWA STATE
72
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Utes Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Utes Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Utes (+14.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim Utes (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o144.5 Loss
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim u144.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 24, 2026 ISU @ UTAH 75 - 59
Jan 7, 2025 UTAH @ ISU 59 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +65.7% more
Utah: 3.3 vs Iowa State: 2.0
Turnovers (L5) +30.4% more
Utah: 11.7 vs Iowa State: 9.0
Free Throw % (L5) +19.3%
Utah: 80.5% vs Iowa State: 61.2%
Steals (L5) +35.8% more
Iowa State: 6.3 vs Utah: 4.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ISU Score 72.0 75
UTAH Score 74.0 59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.3 / 35.7 33.0 / 30.0
Assists 13.7 / 15.2 13.0 / 15.0
Blocks 3.3 / 2.0 5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 43.2 / 46.1 46.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 80.5 / 61.2 69.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 33.3 / 31.8 30.0 / 32.0
Steals 4.0 / 6.3 6.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 11.7 / 9.0 18.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
97%TICKETS3%
78%MONEY22%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
83%TICKETS17%
81%MONEY19%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
64%MONEY36%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ISU Advantage
29-8-0 (78.4%)
Margin: 16.4 ATS +/-: +2.3
UTAH
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -4.8 ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ISU Advantage
22-14-1 (61.1%)
Margin: 16.4 ATS +/-: +2.3
UTAH
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -4.8 ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
ISU
16-21-0
O: 43.2% / U: 56.8% Total +/-: -1.4
UTAH
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8% Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
ISU
UTAH
ISU
ML
56% 18-14
57% 21-16
67% 20-10
76% 26-8
ATS
56% 18-14
62% 23-14
67% 20-10
76% 26-8
TTL
41% 13-19
54% 20-17
100% 30-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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