MINNESOTA
GOLDEN GOPHERSMINN
13-14 | Road
67
MICHIGAN
WOLVERINESMICH
25-2 | Home
77
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN GOPHERS
100%
WOLVERINES
0%
GOLDEN GOPHERS
--
WOLVERINES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
MICHIGAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Michigan)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MICH -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MICH)
MINN By 1-7 points
15.3%
MINN By 8-14 points
5.8%
MICH By 1-7 points
26.2%
MICH By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
68
MINNESOTA
Michigan
75
MICHIGAN
Simulated Score
Minnesota
68
MINNESOTA
Michigan
72
MICHIGAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wolverines
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wolverines
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wolverines (+21.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Wolverines (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 24, 2026
MINN @ MICH
67 - 77
Jan 16, 2025
MICH @ MINN
81 - 84
Jan 4, 2024
MINN @ MICH
73 - 71
Jan 22, 2023
MINN @ MICH
56 - 60
Dec 8, 2022
MICH @ MINN
90 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+231.4% more
Michigan: 6.3
vs
Minnesota: 1.9
Rebounding (L5)
+16.6% more
Michigan: 35.1
vs
Minnesota: 30.1
Assists (L5)
+10.4% more
Michigan: 19.1
vs
Minnesota: 17.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.3%
Michigan: 74.3%
vs
Minnesota: 71.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MINN Score
68.0
67
MICH Score
75.0
77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.8 / 41.4
42.0 / 35.0
Assists
19.1 / 17.3
19.0 / 15.0
Blocks
6.3 / 1.9
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
48.4 / 48.8
50.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
74.3 / 71.0
100.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
35.1 / 30.1
39.0 / 18.0
Steals
5.0 / 5.1
3.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
10.1 / 10.9
14.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MINN
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: -1.1
MICH
Advantage
37-3-0
(92.5%)
Margin: 17.8
ATS +/-: +3.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MINN
14-18-1
(43.8%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: -1.1
MICH
Advantage
19-21-0
(47.5%)
Margin: 17.8
ATS +/-: +3.6
⚖️ Over/Under
MINN
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: -3.9
MICH
17-23-0
O: 42.5% / U: 57.5%
Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MICH
MINN
MICH
MINN
ML
78%
31-9
48%
16-17
63%
24-14
71%
22-9
ATS
78%
31-9
55%
18-15
63%
24-14
71%
22-9
TTL
57%
23-17
52%
17-16
100%
38-0
100%
31-0
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