Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Wildcats @ Gamecocks UK @ SC

KENTUCKY

WILDCATSUK

17-10  |  Road

72
FINAL
Tue, Feb 24 • 7:00 PM ET
Colonial Life Arena
View Odds Details →

SOUTH CAROLINA

GAMECOCKSSC

12-15  |  Home

63
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
100%
📊
GAMECOCKS
0%
WILDCATS --
GAMECOCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
169.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
SOUTH CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (South Carolina)
WildcatsUK (-3.5) 0 GamecocksSC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wildcats Cover

18.4%

Gamecocks Cover

81.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SC -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SC)

UK By 1-7 points

12.2%

UK By 8-14 points

4.0%

SC By 1-7 points

24.3%

SC By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
80
KENTUCKY
89
SOUTH CAROLINA
Simulated Score
69
KENTUCKY
77
SOUTH CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Gamecocks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Gamecocks Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Gamecocks (+7.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Gamecocks (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o151.5 Loss
Proj Total: 169.0
D
Sim u151.5 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 24, 2026 UK @ SC 72 - 63
Feb 8, 2025 SC @ UK 57 - 80
Jan 23, 2024 UK @ SC 62 - 79
Jan 10, 2023 SC @ UK 71 - 68
Feb 8, 2022 UK @ SC 86 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +9.6%
South Carolina: 80.9% vs Kentucky: 71.3%
Blocks (L5) +51.2% more
Kentucky: 3.8 vs South Carolina: 1.9
Turnovers (L5) +32.2% more
Kentucky: 12.3 vs South Carolina: 8.3
Rebounding (L5) +21.1% more
Kentucky: 38.3 vs South Carolina: 30.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UK Score 80.0 72
SC Score 89.0 63
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.8 / 34.6 28.0 / 28.0
Assists 13.7 / 13.8 9.0 / 15.0
Blocks 1.9 / 3.8 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 44.3 / 44.6 37.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 80.9 / 71.3 76.0 / 72.0
Rebounding 30.2 / 38.3 28.0 / 48.0
Steals 5.6 / 5.9 8.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 8.3 / 12.3 12.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
95%TICKETS5%
91%MONEY9%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
82%MONEY18%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
82%MONEY18%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UK Advantage
22-14-0 (61.1%)
Margin: 6.2 ATS +/-: -1.4
SC
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UK Advantage
18-18-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 6.2 ATS +/-: -1.4
SC
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
UK
18-18-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.5
SC
14-16-2
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SC
UK
SC
UK
ML
72% 23-9
71% 25-10
68% 21-10
72% 23-9
ATS
69% 22-10
83% 29-6
68% 21-10
72% 23-9
TTL
50% 16-16
63% 22-13
100% 31-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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