Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Chippewas @ Golden Flashes CMU @ KENT

CENTRAL MICHIGAN

CHIPPEWASCMU

9-18  |  Road

81
FINAL
Tue, Feb 24 • 7:00 PM ET
M.A.C. Center
View Odds Details →

KENT STATE

GOLDEN FLASHESKENT

20-7  |  Home

83
AI Model Win Probability
CHIPPEWAS
0%
📊
GOLDEN FLASHES
100%
CHIPPEWAS --
GOLDEN FLASHES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+8.0
KENT STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
ChippewasCMU (-3.5) 0 Golden FlashesKENT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Chippewas Cover

21.2%

Golden Flashes Cover

78.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around KENT +8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KENT)

CMU By 1-7 points

25.3%

CMU By 8-14 points

26.2%

KENT By 1-7 points

13.7%

KENT By 8-14 points

4.8%

AI Model Projected Score
74
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
66
KENT STATE
Simulated Score
68
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
75
KENT STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Chippewas Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Flashes Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Golden Flashes (+11.5) Win
Proj Spread: +8.0
D
Sim Golden Flashes (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u156.5 Loss
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim u156.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 24, 2026 CMU @ KENT 81 - 83
Jan 10, 2026 KENT @ CMU 85 - 87
Feb 11, 2025 CMU @ KENT 83 - 91
Mar 2, 2024 CMU @ KENT 73 - 79
Jan 13, 2024 KENT @ CMU 62 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +37.4% more
Central Michigan: 6.3 vs Kent State: 3.9
Steals (L5) +32.2% more
Central Michigan: 9.9 vs Kent State: 6.7
Field Goal % (L5) +8.1%
Central Michigan: 49.4% vs Kent State: 41.3%
Rebounding (L5) +20.2% more
Kent State: 39.3 vs Central Michigan: 32.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CMU Score 74.0 81
KENT Score 66.0 83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.3 / 33.7 38.0 / 48.0
Assists 12.5 / 13.1 16.0 / 15.0
Blocks 3.9 / 6.3 1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 41.3 / 49.4 48.0 / 51.0
Free Throw % 70.4 / 66.4 79.0 / 68.0
Rebounding 39.3 / 32.7 35.0 / 25.0
Steals 6.7 / 9.9 7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 11.8 / 12.1 13.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
5%MONEY95%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
32%MONEY68%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
16%MONEY84%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CMU
10-21-0 (32.3%)
Margin: -3.5 ATS +/-: +1.4
KENT Advantage
24-10-0 (70.6%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CMU Advantage
15-13-1 (53.6%)
Margin: -3.5 ATS +/-: +1.4
KENT
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
CMU
13-16-0
O: 44.8% / U: 55.2% Total +/-: +0.4
KENT
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +4.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KENT
CMU
KENT
CMU
ML
53% 18-16
57% 17-13
65% 22-12
70% 21-9
ATS
65% 22-12
67% 20-10
65% 22-12
70% 21-9
TTL
44% 15-19
67% 20-10
100% 34-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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