Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Mountaineers @ Cowboys WVU @ OKST

WEST VIRGINIA

MOUNTAINEERSWVU

16-11  |  Road

84
FINAL
Tue, Feb 24 • 7:00 PM ET
Gallagher-Iba Arena
View Odds Details →

OKLAHOMA STATE

COWBOYSOKST

16-11  |  Home

91
AI Model Win Probability
MOUNTAINEERS
100%
📊
COWBOYS
0%
MOUNTAINEERS --
COWBOYS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
118.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
OKLAHOMA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Oklahoma State)
MountaineersWVU (-3.5) 0 CowboysOKST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Mountaineers Cover

15.9%

Cowboys Cover

84.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around OKST -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OKST)

WVU By 1-7 points

10.7%

WVU By 8-14 points

3.3%

OKST By 1-7 points

23.0%

OKST By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
54
WEST VIRGINIA
64
OKLAHOMA STATE
Simulated Score
68
WEST VIRGINIA
72
OKLAHOMA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cowboys Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cowboys Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cowboys (-1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim Cowboys (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u143.5 Loss
Proj Total: 118.0
D
Sim u143.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 24, 2026 WVU @ OKST 84 - 91
Jan 4, 2025 OKST @ WVU 50 - 69
Jan 27, 2024 WVU @ OKST 66 - 70
Feb 20, 2023 OKST @ WVU 67 - 85
Jan 2, 2023 WVU @ OKST 60 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +22.4% more
Oklahoma State: 12.6 vs West Virginia: 10.3
Rebounding (L5) +19.7% more
Oklahoma State: 37.1 vs West Virginia: 31.0
Steals (L5) +17.2% more
Oklahoma State: 7.4 vs West Virginia: 6.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.1%
Oklahoma State: 28.7% vs West Virginia: 23.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WVU Score 54.0 84
OKST Score 64.0 91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.7 / 23.6 43.0 / 39.0
Assists 12.6 / 10.3 17.0 / 15.0
Blocks 2.1 / 4.0 3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 40.2 / 42.0 49.0 / 49.0
Free Throw % 70.7 / 66.0 70.0 / 50.0
Rebounding 37.1 / 31.0 40.0 / 33.0
Steals 7.4 / 6.3 6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 12.1 / 12.1 10.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
33%MONEY67%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
48%MONEY52%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
46%MONEY54%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WVU Advantage
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +0.2
OKST
20-15-0 (57.1%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WVU Advantage
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +0.2
OKST
16-19-0 (45.7%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
WVU
13-21-1
O: 38.2% / U: 61.8% Total +/-: -1.6
OKST
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +2.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OKST
WVU
OKST
WVU
ML
60% 21-14
63% 22-13
66% 21-11
76% 26-8
ATS
57% 20-15
60% 21-14
66% 21-11
76% 26-8
TTL
57% 20-15
40% 14-21
100% 32-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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