Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bearcats @ Red Raiders CIN @ TTU

CINCINNATI

BEARCATSCIN

15-12  |  Road

68
FINAL
Tue, Feb 24 • 7:00 PM ET
United Supermarkets Arena
View Odds Details →

TEXAS TECH

RED RAIDERSTTU

20-7  |  Home

80
AI Model Win Probability
BEARCATS
100%
📊
RED RAIDERS
0%
BEARCATS --
RED RAIDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
132.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
TEXAS TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Texas Tech)
BearcatsCIN (-3.5) 0 Red RaidersTTU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bearcats Cover

21.2%

Red Raiders Cover

78.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TTU -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TTU)

CIN By 1-7 points

13.7%

CIN By 8-14 points

4.8%

TTU By 1-7 points

25.3%

TTU By 8-14 points

26.2%

AI Model Projected Score
62
CINCINNATI
70
TEXAS TECH
Simulated Score
68
CINCINNATI
72
TEXAS TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Red Raiders Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Red Raiders Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Red Raiders (-6.5) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim Red Raiders (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u142.5 Loss
Proj Total: 132.0
D
Sim u142.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 24, 2026 CIN @ TTU 68 - 80
Jan 21, 2025 TTU @ CIN 81 - 71
Feb 3, 2024 CIN @ TTU 75 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +73.8% more
Texas Tech: 5.6 vs Cincinnati: 3.2
Free Throw % (L5) +3.3%
Texas Tech: 76.3% vs Cincinnati: 72.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.3%
Texas Tech: 41.9% vs Cincinnati: 39.6%
Steals (L5) +37.0% more
Cincinnati: 6.5 vs Texas Tech: 4.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CIN Score 62.0 68
TTU Score 70.0 80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 41.9 / 39.6 40.0 / 33.0
Assists 16.0 / 15.9 13.0 / 8.0
Blocks 5.6 / 3.2 6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 47.7 / 46.6 52.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 76.3 / 72.9 80.0 / 77.0
Rebounding 38.3 / 36.1 40.0 / 24.0
Steals 4.1 / 6.5 3.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 10.4 / 10.3 12.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
8%TICKETS92%
22%MONEY78%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
39%MONEY61%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
67%MONEY33%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CIN
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 5.5 ATS +/-: -0.2
TTU Advantage
23-11-0 (67.7%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CIN
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: 5.5 ATS +/-: -0.2
TTU Advantage
17-17-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
CIN
12-21-0
O: 36.4% / U: 63.6% Total +/-: -4.6
TTU
15-19-0
O: 44.1% / U: 55.9% Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TTU
CIN
TTU
CIN
ML
62% 21-13
67% 22-11
71% 22-9
74% 23-8
ATS
65% 22-12
64% 21-12
71% 22-9
74% 23-8
TTL
59% 20-14
67% 22-11
100% 31-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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