AI Model Win Probability
REDHAWKS
0%
EAGLES
100%
REDHAWKS
--
EAGLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
MIAMI (OH)
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Miami (OH))
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around M-OH -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (M-OH)
M-OH By 1-7 points
15.3%
M-OH By 8-14 points
25.3%
EMU By 1-7 points
4.8%
EMU By 8-14 points
1.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Miami (OH)
82
MIAMI (OH)
Eastern Michigan
67
EASTERN MICHIGAN
Simulated Score
Miami (OH)
71
MIAMI (OH)
Eastern Michigan
74
EASTERN MICHIGAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
RedHawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Eagles
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
RedHawks (+8.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Eagles (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 24, 2026
M-OH @ EMU
74 - 64
Mar 13, 2025
EMU @ M-OH
75 - 81
Feb 18, 2025
M-OH @ EMU
66 - 76
Jan 28, 2025
EMU @ M-OH
80 - 89
Mar 2, 2024
M-OH @ EMU
52 - 37
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+18.9% more
Miami (OH): 7.6
vs
Eastern Michigan: 6.1
Assists (L5)
+8.9% more
Miami (OH): 14.6
vs
Eastern Michigan: 13.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.0%
Miami (OH): 41.7%
vs
Eastern Michigan: 33.7%
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.5%
Miami (OH): 52.0%
vs
Eastern Michigan: 46.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
M-OH Score
82.0
74
EMU Score
67.0
64
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.7 / 41.7
32.0 / 18.0
Assists
13.3 / 14.6
12.0 / 11.0
Blocks
4.2 / 2.4
8.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
46.5 / 52.0
34.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
77.5 / 70.4
65.0 / 68.0
Rebounding
32.3 / 33.8
44.0 / 46.0
Steals
6.1 / 7.6
3.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
13.1 / 9.9
11.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
M-OH
Advantage
32-2-0
(94.1%)
Margin: 14.1
ATS +/-: +3.2
EMU
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -2.8
ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
M-OH
20-11-0
(64.5%)
Margin: 14.1
ATS +/-: +3.2
EMU
Advantage
20-10-0
(66.7%)
Margin: -2.8
ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
M-OH
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5%
Total +/-: +5.6
EMU
9-21-0
O: 30.0% / U: 70.0%
Total +/-: -3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EMU
M-OH
EMU
M-OH
ML
65%
20-11
45%
15-18
70%
21-9
41%
13-19
ATS
65%
20-11
61%
20-13
70%
21-9
41%
13-19
TTL
71%
22-9
61%
20-13
100%
30-0
100%
32-0