Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Islanders @ Lions AMCC @ SELA

TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI

ISLANDERSAMCC

14-14  |  Road

73
FINAL
Mon, Feb 23 • 7:00 PM ET
University Center
View Odds Details →

SE LOUISIANA

LIONSSELA

8-20  |  Home

68
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
0%
📊
LIONS
100%
ISLANDERS --
LIONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
154.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Texas A&M-Corpus Christi)
IslandersAMCC (-3.5) 0 LionsSELA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Islanders Cover

78.8%

Lions Cover

21.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around AMCC -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AMCC)

AMCC By 1-7 points

25.3%

AMCC By 8-14 points

26.2%

SELA By 1-7 points

13.7%

SELA By 8-14 points

4.8%

AI Model Projected Score
81
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
73
SE LOUISIANA
Simulated Score
68
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
72
SE LOUISIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Islanders Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Lions Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Islanders (+1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim Lions (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o130.5 Win
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Sim u130.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 23, 2026 AMCC @ SELA 73 - 68
Jan 17, 2026 SELA @ AMCC 56 - 68
Mar 1, 2025 SELA @ AMCC 54 - 68
Jan 4, 2025 AMCC @ SELA 80 - 71
Mar 2, 2024 SELA @ AMCC 68 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +33.8% more
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 15.2 vs SE Louisiana: 10.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +6.8%
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 35.5% vs SE Louisiana: 28.7%
Free Throw % (L5) +6.2%
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 69.2% vs SE Louisiana: 63.0%
Field Goal % (L5) +2.1%
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 44.1% vs SE Louisiana: 42.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
AMCC Score 81.0 73
SELA Score 73.0 68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.7 / 35.5 21.0 / 50.0
Assists 11.1 / 11.7 7.0 / 11.0
Blocks 2.2 / 2.0 3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 42.1 / 44.1 48.0 / 54.0
Free Throw % 63.0 / 69.2 67.0 / 75.0
Rebounding 31.3 / 32.8 26.0 / 32.0
Steals 5.9 / 5.2 4.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 10.0 / 15.2 13.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
83%MONEY17%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
81%MONEY19%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
58%MONEY42%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
AMCC Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 4.8 ATS +/-: +1.7
SELA
9-22-0 (29.0%)
Margin: -5.4 ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
AMCC Advantage
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: 4.8 ATS +/-: +1.7
SELA
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: -5.4 ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
AMCC
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: -2.3
SELA
13-17-0
O: 43.3% / U: 56.7% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SELA
AMCC
SELA
AMCC
ML
70% 21-9
70% 21-9
66% 19-10
67% 18-9
ATS
60% 18-12
67% 20-10
67% 20-10
67% 18-9
TTL
70% 21-9
60% 18-12
100% 30-0
100% 27-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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