Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Huskies @ Lions HCU @ ETAM

HOUSTON CHRISTIAN

HUSKIESHCU

10-18  |  Road

69
FINAL
Mon, Feb 23 • 7:30 PM ET
The Field House
View Odds Details →

EAST TEXAS A&M

LIONSETAM

11-18  |  Home

68
AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
100%
📊
LIONS
0%
HUSKIES --
LIONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
128.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
EAST TEXAS A&M
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (East Texas A&M)
HuskiesHCU (-3.5) 0 LionsETAM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Huskies Cover

42.1%

Lions Cover

57.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ETAM -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ETAM)

HCU By 1-7 points

23.0%

HCU By 8-14 points

12.2%

ETAM By 1-7 points

26.8%

ETAM By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
63
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
65
EAST TEXAS A&M
Simulated Score
72
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
75
EAST TEXAS A&M
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Lions Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Lions Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Lions (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim Lions (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u138.5 Win
Proj Total: 128.0
D
Sim u138.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 23, 2026 HCU @ ETAM 69 - 68
Jan 17, 2026 ETAM @ HCU 70 - 81
Mar 3, 2025 HCU @ ETAM 59 - 63
Dec 5, 2024 ETAM @ HCU 79 - 83
Mar 2, 2024 ETAM @ HCU 98 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +48.1% more
East Texas A&M: 16.4 vs Houston Christian: 11.1
Steals (L5) +8.9% more
East Texas A&M: 5.0 vs Houston Christian: 4.6
Field Goal % (L5) +5.0%
East Texas A&M: 45.9% vs Houston Christian: 40.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.5%
East Texas A&M: 31.3% vs Houston Christian: 26.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HCU Score 63.0 69
ETAM Score 65.0 68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.3 / 26.8 38.0 / 26.0
Assists 16.4 / 11.1 14.0 / 14.0
Blocks 3.2 / 3.4 7.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 45.9 / 40.9 45.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 66.4 / 72.9 76.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 31.3 / 32.4 32.0 / 34.0
Steals 5.0 / 4.6 10.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 10.4 / 11.8 15.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
21%TICKETS79%
12%MONEY88%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
33%MONEY67%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
55%MONEY45%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HCU Advantage
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -0.9
ETAM
11-21-0 (34.4%)
Margin: -4.3 ATS +/-: -1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HCU Advantage
14-15-1 (48.3%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -0.9
ETAM
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: -4.3 ATS +/-: -1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
HCU
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: -0.1
ETAM
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: -1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ETAM
HCU
ETAM
HCU
ML
52% 13-12
68% 21-10
62% 15-9
81% 25-6
ATS
56% 14-11
58% 18-13
62% 15-9
81% 26-6
TTL
68% 17-8
68% 21-10
100% 24-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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