Home / NBA Projections NBA / Knicks @ Bulls NY @ CHI

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

36-21  |  Road

105
FINAL
Sun, Feb 22 • 8:00 PM ET
United Center
View Odds Details →

CHICAGO

BULLSCHI

24-33  |  Home

99
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
0%
📊
BULLS
100%
KNICKS --
BULLS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
233.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
KnicksNY (-3.5) 0 BullsCHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Knicks Cover

38.2%

Bulls Cover

61.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CHI +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)

NY By 1-7 points

27.2%

NY By 8-14 points

20.1%

CHI By 1-7 points

21.6%

CHI By 8-14 points

10.7%

AI Model Projected Score
118
NEW YORK
115
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
108
NEW YORK
112
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Knicks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulls Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bulls (+10) Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
D
Sim Bulls (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u233.0 Win
Proj Total: 233.0
D
Sim u233.0 Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 3, 2026 CHI @ NY 96 - 136
Feb 22, 2026 NY @ CHI 105 - 99
Nov 2, 2025 CHI @ NY 116 - 128
Oct 31, 2025 NY @ CHI 125 - 135
Feb 20, 2025 CHI @ NY 111 - 113
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +10.6% more
New York: 28.4 vs Chicago: 25.4
Field Goal % (L5) +4.4%
New York: 48.6% vs Chicago: 44.2%
Free Throw % (L5) +2.1%
New York: 80.6% vs Chicago: 78.5%
Blocks (L5) +136.6% more
Chicago: 8.0 vs New York: 3.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NY Score 118.0 105
CHI Score 115.0 99
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.9 / 34.6 35.0 / 36.0
Assists 25.4 / 28.4 24.0 / 27.0
Blocks 8.0 / 3.4 2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 44.2 / 48.6 40.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 78.5 / 80.6 71.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 41.8 / 39.0 50.0 / 50.0
Steals 8.9 / 9.2 8.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 19.7 / 12.3 17.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
91%TICKETS9%
73%MONEY27%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
80%MONEY20%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
67%MONEY33%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
CHI
31-51-0 (37.8%)
Margin: -5.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
CHI
39-43-0 (47.6%)
Margin: -5.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7% Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
NY
CHI
NY
ML
56% 54-42
61% 114-72
57% 46-35
56% 57-45
ATS
65% 62-33-1
67% 124-62
57% 46-35
56% 57-45
TTL
58% 56-40
72% 133-53
100% 81-0
100% 102-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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