Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Peacocks @ Saints SPU @ SIE

SAINT PETER'S

PEACOCKSSPU

15-10  |  Road

63
FINAL
Sun, Feb 22 • 2:00 PM ET
MVP Arena
View Odds Details →

SIENA

SAINTSSIE

18-10  |  Home

72
AI Model Win Probability
PEACOCKS
100%
📊
SAINTS
0%
PEACOCKS --
SAINTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
130.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
SIENA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Siena)
PeacocksSPU (-3.5) 0 SaintsSIE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Peacocks Cover

42.1%

Saints Cover

57.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SIE -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SIE)

SPU By 1-7 points

23.0%

SPU By 8-14 points

12.2%

SIE By 1-7 points

26.8%

SIE By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
64
SAINT PETER'S
66
SIENA
Simulated Score
65
SAINT PETER'S
68
SIENA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Saints Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Saints Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Saints (+5.5) Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim Saints (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u137.5 Win
Proj Total: 130.0
D
Sim u137.5 Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 22, 2026 SPU @ SIE 63 - 72
Feb 7, 2026 SIE @ SPU 65 - 70
Feb 6, 2025 SPU @ SIE 63 - 77
Feb 16, 2024 SIE @ SPU 53 - 75
Jan 28, 2024 SPU @ SIE 63 - 52
Key Model Drivers
Field Goal % (L5) +6.5%
Siena: 48.2% vs Saint Peter's: 41.7%
Steals (L5) +58.3% more
Saint Peter's: 9.5 vs Siena: 4.0
Blocks (L5) +23.6% more
Saint Peter's: 4.3 vs Siena: 3.3
Turnovers (L5) +15.1% more
Saint Peter's: 13.4 vs Siena: 11.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SPU Score 64.0 63
SIE Score 66.0 72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 24.5 / 34.7 33.0 / 35.0
Assists 11.8 / 11.9 11.0 / 9.0
Blocks 3.3 / 4.3 1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 48.2 / 41.7 49.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 77.6 / 76.5 82.0 / 75.0
Rebounding 33.0 / 35.2 34.0 / 26.0
Steals 4.0 / 9.5 4.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 11.4 / 13.4 11.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
57%MONEY43%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
31%MONEY69%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SPU
17-12-0 (58.6%)
Margin: 2.4 ATS +/-: +0.2
SIE Advantage
23-12-0 (65.7%)
Margin: 4.5 ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SPU
16-11-1 (59.3%)
Margin: 2.4 ATS +/-: +0.2
SIE Advantage
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 4.5 ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
SPU
10-18-0
O: 35.7% / U: 64.3% Total +/-: -0.2
SIE
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6% Total +/-: -1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SIE
SPU
SIE
SPU
ML
66% 23-12
64% 18-10
48% 16-17
71% 20-8
ATS
66% 23-12
71% 20-8
48% 16-17
71% 20-8
TTL
54% 19-16
61% 17-11
100% 33-0
100% 28-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Gerry McNamara Vows to Bring Syracuse Basketball Back to Nationa…
espn 1 day, 1 hour ago
Indiana Hoosiers Fans Invade Rutgers Homecoming as Hoosiers Roll…
app 4 days, 19 hours ago
Texas A&M's Blowout Loss to LSU: Five Critical Takeaways
headtopics 1 week, 4 days ago
NBA Training Camp Buzz: Undrafted Gems Sign Deals with Thunder, …
si 1 week, 5 days ago
Riley Minix's Unconventional Path from NAIA to NBA Two-Way Contr…
headtopics 2 weeks ago