RICE
OWLSRICE
11-15 | Road
75
TULANE
GREEN WAVETULN
16-10 | Home
81
AI Model Win Probability
OWLS
100%
GREEN WAVE
0%
OWLS
--
GREEN WAVE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
154.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
TULANE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Tulane)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TULN -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TULN)
RICE By 1-7 points
20.1%
RICE By 8-14 points
9.3%
TULN By 1-7 points
27.4%
TULN By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Rice
75
RICE
Tulane
79
TULANE
Simulated Score
Rice
75
RICE
Tulane
78
TULANE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Green Wave
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Green Wave
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Green Wave (+5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Green Wave (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o147.5
Win
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Sim
u147.5
Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 22, 2026
RICE @ TULN
75 - 81
Feb 15, 2025
RICE @ TULN
78 - 81
Jan 25, 2025
TULN @ RICE
82 - 71
Jan 3, 2024
RICE @ TULN
59 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+86.6% more
Tulane: 6.0
vs
Rice: 3.2
Turnovers (L5)
+9.8% more
Tulane: 11.1
vs
Rice: 10.2
Steals (L5)
+9.1% more
Tulane: 6.9
vs
Rice: 6.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.1%
Tulane: 79.3%
vs
Rice: 70.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
RICE Score
75.0
75
TULN Score
79.0
81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.0 / 30.6
41.0 / 41.0
Assists
11.6 / 12.9
17.0 / 13.0
Blocks
6.0 / 3.2
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
43.3 / 41.6
48.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
79.3 / 70.2
74.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
33.0 / 38.7
34.0 / 27.0
Steals
6.9 / 6.4
8.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
11.1 / 10.2
11.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RICE
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-: -1.4
TULN
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: -2.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RICE
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-: -1.4
TULN
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: -2.7
⚖️ Over/Under
RICE
17-12-0
O: 58.6% / U: 41.4%
Total +/-: +2.4
TULN
13-18-1
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: -1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TULN
RICE
TULN
RICE
ML
70%
23-10
53%
16-14
47%
15-17
53%
16-14
ATS
62%
20-12-1
60%
18-12
47%
15-17
53%
16-14
TTL
55%
18-15
77%
23-7
100%
32-0
100%
30-0
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