GREEN BAY
PHOENIXGB
16-13 | Road
70
DETROIT MERCY
TITANSDETM
13-13 | Home
74
AI Model Win Probability
PHOENIX
0%
TITANS
100%
PHOENIX
--
TITANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
GREEN BAY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Green Bay)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around GB -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GB)
GB By 1-7 points
27.2%
GB By 8-14 points
20.1%
DETM By 1-7 points
21.6%
DETM By 8-14 points
10.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Green Bay
73
GREEN BAY
Detroit Mercy
70
DETROIT MERCY
Simulated Score
Green Bay
75
GREEN BAY
Detroit Mercy
72
DETROIT MERCY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Phoenix
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Phoenix
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Phoenix (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Phoenix (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u147.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim
u147.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 22, 2026
GB @ DETM
70 - 74
Feb 7, 2026
DETM @ GB
63 - 76
Feb 27, 2025
DETM @ GB
71 - 76
Feb 1, 2025
GB @ DETM
57 - 67
Jan 27, 2024
DETM @ GB
64 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+11.9% more
Green Bay: 14.6
vs
Detroit Mercy: 12.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.1%
Green Bay: 82.8%
vs
Detroit Mercy: 80.7%
Blocks (L5)
+44.9% more
Detroit Mercy: 4.4
vs
Green Bay: 3.1
Rebounding (L5)
+18.2% more
Detroit Mercy: 35.1
vs
Green Bay: 29.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GB Score
73.0
70
DETM Score
70.0
74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
43.0 / 41.3
38.0 / 42.0
Assists
12.9 / 14.6
10.0 / 10.0
Blocks
4.4 / 3.1
3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
49.0 / 48.8
43.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
80.7 / 82.8
95.0 / 89.0
Rebounding
35.1 / 29.7
34.0 / 28.0
Steals
5.7 / 5.3
10.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
10.1 / 9.7
12.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GB
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
DETM
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-: +3.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GB
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
DETM
Advantage
20-9-1
(69.0%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-: +3.7
⚖️ Over/Under
GB
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +2.1
DETM
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DETM
GB
DETM
GB
ML
58%
18-13
48%
16-17
50%
15-15
67%
22-11
ATS
61%
19-12
52%
17-16
50%
15-15
67%
22-11
TTL
61%
19-12
58%
19-14
100%
30-0
100%
33-0
Contextual Game News
