IOWA
HAWKEYESIOWA
19-7 | Road
71
WISCONSIN
BADGERSWIS
18-8 | Home
84
AI Model Win Probability
HAWKEYES
100%
BADGERS
0%
HAWKEYES
--
BADGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
153.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-27.0
WISCONSIN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +27.0 points (Wisconsin)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WIS -27.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WIS)
IOWA By 1-7 points
0.3%
IOWA By 8-14 points
0.0%
WIS By 1-7 points
2.2%
WIS By 8-14 points
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Iowa
63
IOWA
Wisconsin
90
WISCONSIN
Simulated Score
Iowa
68
IOWA
Wisconsin
74
WISCONSIN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Badgers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Badgers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Badgers (-3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Sim
Badgers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o146.5
Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Sim
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 22, 2026
IOWA @ WIS
71 - 84
Feb 8, 2025
WIS @ IOWA
74 - 63
Jan 3, 2025
IOWA @ WIS
85 - 116
Feb 17, 2024
WIS @ IOWA
86 - 88
Jan 2, 2024
IOWA @ WIS
72 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+119.6% more
Wisconsin: 3.7
vs
Iowa: 1.7
Assists (L5)
+40.4% more
Wisconsin: 14.5
vs
Iowa: 10.3
Steals (L5)
+9.5% more
Wisconsin: 5.1
vs
Iowa: 4.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.9%
Wisconsin: 35.5%
vs
Iowa: 29.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
IOWA Score
63.0
71
WIS Score
90.0
84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.5 / 29.6
42.0 / 27.0
Assists
14.5 / 10.3
17.0 / 13.0
Blocks
3.7 / 1.7
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
45.1 / 40.7
54.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
68.8 / 79.7
90.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
33.2 / 31.0
29.0 / 29.0
Steals
5.1 / 4.6
6.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
8.2 / 8.3
8.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IOWA
24-13-0
(64.9%)
Margin: 8.3
ATS +/-: +1.1
WIS
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 6.9
ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IOWA
21-16-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 8.3
ATS +/-: +1.1
WIS
Advantage
20-15-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 6.9
ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
IOWA
20-17-0
O: 54.1% / U: 46.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
WIS
22-13-0
O: 62.9% / U: 37.1%
Total +/-: +3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WIS
IOWA
WIS
IOWA
ML
60%
21-14
59%
22-15
69%
24-11
78%
28-8
ATS
51%
18-17
76%
28-9
69%
24-11
78%
28-8
TTL
57%
20-15
57%
21-16
100%
35-0
100%
36-0
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