Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Colonials @ Raiders RMU @ WRST

ROBERT MORRIS

COLONIALSRMU

18-10  |  Road

81
FINAL
Sun, Feb 22 • 2:00 PM ET
Nutter Center
View Odds Details →

WRIGHT STATE

RAIDERSWRST

18-10  |  Home

68
AI Model Win Probability
COLONIALS
100%
📊
RAIDERS
0%
COLONIALS --
RAIDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
WRIGHT STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Wright State)
ColonialsRMU (-3.5) 0 RaidersWRST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Colonials Cover

46.0%

Raiders Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WRST -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WRST)

RMU By 1-7 points

24.3%

RMU By 8-14 points

13.7%

WRST By 1-7 points

26.2%

WRST By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
71
ROBERT MORRIS
72
WRIGHT STATE
Simulated Score
70
ROBERT MORRIS
78
WRIGHT STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Raiders Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Raiders Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Raiders (+4.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Raiders (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u146.5 Loss
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim u146.5 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 22, 2026 RMU @ WRST 81 - 68
Feb 4, 2026 WRST @ RMU 66 - 72
Mar 6, 2025 WRST @ RMU 62 - 83
Feb 2, 2025 RMU @ WRST 64 - 66
Jan 12, 2025 WRST @ RMU 72 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +39.0% more
Wright State: 5.8 vs Robert Morris: 4.2
Free Throw % (L5) +17.8%
Wright State: 77.4% vs Robert Morris: 59.6%
Blocks (L5) +13.6% more
Wright State: 4.3 vs Robert Morris: 3.7
Assists (L5) +42.3% more
Robert Morris: 22.1 vs Wright State: 12.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
RMU Score 71.0 81
WRST Score 72.0 68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 41.1 / 40.9 31.0 / 44.0
Assists 12.7 / 22.1 7.0 / 11.0
Blocks 4.3 / 3.7 2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 51.1 / 51.9 44.0 / 53.0
Free Throw % 77.4 / 59.6 88.0 / 94.0
Rebounding 35.6 / 38.5 27.0 / 30.0
Steals 5.8 / 4.2 8.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 12.1 / 11.2 14.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
16%TICKETS84%
30%MONEY70%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
39%MONEY61%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
93%MONEY7%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RMU Advantage
22-11-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 5.3 ATS +/-: +2.5
WRST
23-12-0 (65.7%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RMU Advantage
19-11-1 (63.3%)
Margin: 5.3 ATS +/-: +2.5
WRST
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
RMU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +1.1
WRST
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5% Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WRST
RMU
WRST
RMU
ML
37% 13-22
36% 12-21
63% 22-13
56% 18-14
ATS
46% 16-19
55% 18-15
63% 22-13
56% 18-14
TTL
63% 22-13
55% 18-15
100% 35-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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