AI Model Win Probability
PRIVATEERS
100%
CARDINALS
0%
PRIVATEERS
--
CARDINALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
LAMAR
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Lamar)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAM -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAM)
UNO By 1-7 points
16.9%
UNO By 8-14 points
6.8%
LAM By 1-7 points
26.8%
LAM By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
New Orleans
69
NEW ORLEANS
Lamar
75
LAMAR
Simulated Score
New Orleans
68
NEW ORLEANS
Lamar
72
LAMAR
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cardinals
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cardinals
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cardinals (-5.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Cardinals (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u146.5
Loss
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
UNO @ LAM
77 - 71
Jan 19, 2026
LAM @ UNO
76 - 89
Jan 13, 2025
UNO @ LAM
68 - 62
Mar 11, 2024
UNO @ LAM
57 - 71
Feb 17, 2024
LAM @ UNO
94 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+29.7% more
Lamar: 3.7
vs
New Orleans: 2.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+13.3%
Lamar: 39.3%
vs
New Orleans: 26.0%
Steals (L5)
+54.8% more
New Orleans: 6.8
vs
Lamar: 3.1
Turnovers (L5)
+15.7% more
New Orleans: 12.1
vs
Lamar: 10.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UNO Score
69.0
77
LAM Score
75.0
71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.3 / 26.0
29.0 / 30.0
Assists
12.6 / 12.6
19.0 / 19.0
Blocks
3.7 / 2.8
1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
43.4 / 44.8
36.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
65.6 / 69.7
58.0 / 78.0
Rebounding
37.7 / 36.9
39.0 / 43.0
Steals
3.1 / 6.8
6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
10.2 / 12.1
13.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNO
Advantage
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: +3.4
LAM
12-19-0
(38.7%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNO
Advantage
19-14-0
(57.6%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: +3.4
LAM
12-16-1
(42.9%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
UNO
19-14-0
O: 57.6% / U: 42.4%
Total +/-: +2.0
LAM
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAM
UNO
LAM
UNO
ML
55%
16-13
52%
16-15
59%
17-12
57%
17-13
ATS
52%
15-14
52%
16-15
60%
18-12
57%
17-13
TTL
72%
21-8
58%
18-13
100%
30-0
100%
30-0