VERMONT
CATAMOUNTSUVM
17-11 | Road
70
NJIT
HIGHLANDERSNJIT
15-13 | Home
64
AI Model Win Probability
CATAMOUNTS
0%
HIGHLANDERS
100%
CATAMOUNTS
--
HIGHLANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+4.0
NJIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NJIT +4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NJIT)
UVM By 1-7 points
27.4%
UVM By 8-14 points
21.6%
NJIT By 1-7 points
20.1%
NJIT By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Vermont
72
VERMONT
NJIT
68
NJIT
Simulated Score
Vermont
78
VERMONT
NJIT
62
NJIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Catamounts
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Catamounts
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Highlanders (+5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +4.0
D
Sim
Catamounts (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 10, 2026
NJIT @ UVM
54 - 63
Feb 21, 2026
UVM @ NJIT
70 - 64
Jan 31, 2026
NJIT @ UVM
79 - 77
Feb 27, 2025
UVM @ NJIT
71 - 61
Jan 23, 2025
NJIT @ UVM
64 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+14.0%
Vermont: 77.0%
vs
NJIT: 63.0%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+11.2%
Vermont: 38.8%
vs
NJIT: 27.6%
Blocks (L5)
+82.0% more
NJIT: 3.3
vs
Vermont: 1.8
Steals (L5)
+60.0% more
NJIT: 7.7
vs
Vermont: 4.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UVM Score
72.0
70
NJIT Score
68.0
64
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.6 / 38.8
38.0 / 20.0
Assists
12.6 / 13.5
8.0 / 13.0
Blocks
3.3 / 1.8
1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
47.2 / 45.6
40.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
63.0 / 77.0
84.0 / 57.0
Rebounding
33.5 / 35.4
30.0 / 35.0
Steals
7.7 / 4.8
6.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
9.0 / 9.0
6.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UVM
Advantage
22-12-0
(64.7%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: -2.4
NJIT
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UVM
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: -2.4
NJIT
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
UVM
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +1.9
NJIT
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3%
Total +/-: -2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NJIT
UVM
NJIT
UVM
ML
78%
25-7
56%
19-15
62%
20-12
65%
22-12
ATS
72%
23-9
62%
21-13
62%
20-12
65%
22-12
TTL
47%
15-17
47%
16-18
100%
32-0
100%
34-0