MAINE
BLACK BEARSME
6-21 | Road
61
NEW HAMPSHIRE
WILDCATSUNH
8-17 | Home
58
AI Model Win Probability
BLACK BEARS
100%
WILDCATS
0%
BLACK BEARS
--
WILDCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
NEW HAMPSHIRE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (New Hampshire)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UNH -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNH)
ME By 1-7 points
8.0%
ME By 8-14 points
2.2%
UNH By 1-7 points
20.1%
UNH By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Maine
66
MAINE
New Hampshire
78
NEW HAMPSHIRE
Simulated Score
Maine
67
MAINE
New Hampshire
75
NEW HAMPSHIRE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wildcats
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wildcats
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wildcats (-3)
Loss
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Wildcats (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o136.0
Loss
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim
u136.0
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
ME @ UNH
61 - 58
Jan 19, 2026
UNH @ ME
65 - 48
Feb 27, 2025
ME @ UNH
73 - 66
Jan 30, 2025
UNH @ ME
46 - 71
Feb 10, 2024
ME @ UNH
57 - 60
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+35.7% more
New Hampshire: 35.5
vs
Maine: 26.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.7%
New Hampshire: 76.9%
vs
Maine: 67.2%
Blocks (L5)
+30.9% more
Maine: 1.6
vs
New Hampshire: 1.1
Steals (L5)
+28.9% more
Maine: 7.7
vs
New Hampshire: 5.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ME Score
66.0
61
UNH Score
78.0
58
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.8 / 30.4
28.0 / 21.0
Assists
11.0 / 13.8
11.0 / 6.0
Blocks
1.1 / 1.6
1.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
37.4 / 42.4
37.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
76.9 / 67.2
56.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
35.5 / 26.2
37.0 / 31.0
Steals
5.5 / 7.7
4.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
11.3 / 11.5
13.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ME
8-24-0
(25.0%)
Margin: -5.9
ATS +/-: -1.9
UNH
Advantage
9-21-0
(30.0%)
Margin: -5.4
ATS +/-: -2.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ME
Advantage
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -5.9
ATS +/-: -1.9
UNH
12-16-0
(42.9%)
Margin: -5.4
ATS +/-: -2.3
⚖️ Over/Under
ME
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3%
Total +/-: -2.8
UNH
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNH
ME
UNH
ME
ML
70%
19-8
45%
14-17
74%
20-7
52%
16-15
ATS
67%
18-9
55%
17-14
74%
20-7
52%
16-15
TTL
59%
16-11
55%
17-14
100%
27-0
100%
31-0
Contextual Game News
.jpg)
Kerr Kriisa Pleads Guilty to Wire Fraud, Admits Demanding $9,000…
Kerr Kriisa Pleads Guilty to Wire Fraud in $9,000 Scheme
K-State vs Houston: Week 6 Showdown with Big 12 Title Implicatio…
Big Ten Commissioner Tony Petitti Denies Any Expansion Talks Ami…
Aiden Tobiason Brings Sharpshooting and Playmaking to Syracuse B…