WEST GEORGIA

WOLVESWGA

12-15  |  Road

84
FINAL
Sat, Feb 21 • 3:00 PM ET
Curry Arena
View Odds Details →

QUEENS UNIVERSITY

ROYALSQUC

16-12  |  Home

91
AI Model Win Probability
WOLVES
100%
📊
ROYALS
0%
WOLVES --
ROYALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
125.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Queens University)
WolvesWGA (-3.5) 0 RoyalsQUC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wolves Cover

30.9%

Royals Cover

69.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around QUC -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (QUC)

WGA By 1-7 points

18.6%

WGA By 8-14 points

8.0%

QUC By 1-7 points

27.2%

QUC By 8-14 points

23.0%

AI Model Projected Score
60
WEST GEORGIA
65
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Simulated Score
72
WEST GEORGIA
78
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Royals Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Royals Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Royals (+11) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim Royals (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u162.5 Loss
Proj Total: 125.0
D
Sim u162.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 6, 2026 WGA @ QUC 63 - 71
Feb 21, 2026 WGA @ QUC 84 - 91
Jan 24, 2026 QUC @ WGA 66 - 74
Feb 24, 2025 QUC @ WGA 72 - 57
Feb 1, 2025 WGA @ QUC 68 - 87
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +14.6%
Queens University: 75.0% vs West Georgia: 60.4%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +9.3%
Queens University: 41.5% vs West Georgia: 32.1%
Field Goal % (L5) +6.9%
Queens University: 52.9% vs West Georgia: 46.0%
Rebounding (L5) +23.0% more
West Georgia: 38.2 vs Queens University: 29.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WGA Score 60.0 84
QUC Score 65.0 91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 41.5 / 32.1 15.0 / 30.0
Assists 15.7 / 15.0 13.0 / 9.0
Blocks 4.2 / 4.8 2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 52.9 / 46.0 52.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 75.0 / 60.4 78.0 / 74.0
Rebounding 29.4 / 38.2 33.0 / 36.0
Steals 6.9 / 6.7 5.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 10.9 / 10.8 6.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
1%TICKETS99%
7%MONEY93%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
51%MONEY49%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
77%MONEY23%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WGA
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -3.0 ATS +/-: +1.1
QUC Advantage
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: +0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WGA Advantage
21-9-0 (70.0%)
Margin: -3.0 ATS +/-: +1.1
QUC
14-19-1 (42.4%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: +0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
WGA
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +2.2
QUC
22-12-0
O: 64.7% / U: 35.3% Total +/-: +5.9