MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
HAWKSUMES
8-19 | Road
65
COPPIN STATE
EAGLESCOPP
6-21 | Home
71
AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
100%
EAGLES
0%
HAWKS
--
EAGLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-29.0
COPPIN STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +29.0 points (Coppin State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around COPP -29.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COPP)
UMES By 1-7 points
0.1%
UMES By 8-14 points
0.0%
COPP By 1-7 points
1.4%
COPP By 8-14 points
5.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Maryland Eastern Shore
55
MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
Coppin State
84
COPPIN STATE
Simulated Score
Maryland Eastern Shore
62
MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
Coppin State
65
COPPIN STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Eagles
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Eagles
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Eagles (+3)
Win
Proj Spread: -29.0
D
Sim
Eagles (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o127.0
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim
u127.0
Win
Proj Total: 127.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
UMES @ COPP
65 - 71
Jan 17, 2026
COPP @ UMES
67 - 70
Mar 3, 2025
UMES @ COPP
72 - 59
Feb 3, 2025
COPP @ UMES
62 - 57
Feb 19, 2024
COPP @ UMES
67 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+214.0% more
Coppin State: 4.7
vs
Maryland Eastern Shore: 1.5
Steals (L5)
+42.3% more
Coppin State: 5.7
vs
Maryland Eastern Shore: 4.0
Rebounding (L5)
+16.6% more
Coppin State: 33.1
vs
Maryland Eastern Shore: 28.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.6%
Maryland Eastern Shore: 68.7%
vs
Coppin State: 59.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UMES Score
55.0
65
COPP Score
84.0
71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.7 / 32.4
26.0 / 29.0
Assists
11.3 / 11.6
8.0 / 12.0
Blocks
4.7 / 1.5
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
45.0 / 44.5
41.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
59.1 / 68.7
70.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
33.1 / 28.4
35.0 / 27.0
Steals
5.7 / 4.0
6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
15.3 / 14.7
19.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UMES
Advantage
9-23-0
(28.1%)
Margin: -6.4
ATS +/-: +0.2
COPP
7-24-0
(22.6%)
Margin: -14.9
ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UMES
Advantage
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -6.4
ATS +/-: +0.2
COPP
13-17-0
(43.3%)
Margin: -14.9
ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
UMES
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: +0.5
COPP
19-11-0
O: 63.3% / U: 36.7%
Total +/-: +2.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COPP
UMES
COPP
UMES
ML
65%
20-11
66%
21-11
79%
19-5
81%
21-5
ATS
68%
21-10
69%
22-10
79%
19-5
81%
21-5
TTL
52%
16-15
66%
21-11
100%
24-0
100%
26-0
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