Home / NBA Projections NBA / 76ers @ Pelicans PHI @ NO

PHILADELPHIA

76ERSPHI

30-25  |  Road

111
FINAL
Sat, Feb 21 • 7:00 PM ET
Smoothie King Center
View Odds Details →

NEW ORLEANS

PELICANSNO

15-42  |  Home

126
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
100%
📊
PELICANS
0%
76ERS --
PELICANS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
226.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
NEW ORLEANS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (New Orleans)
76ersPHI (-3.5) 0 PelicansNO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

76ers Cover

42.1%

Pelicans Cover

57.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NO -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NO)

PHI By 1-7 points

23.0%

PHI By 8-14 points

12.2%

NO By 1-7 points

26.8%

NO By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
112
PHILADELPHIA
114
NEW ORLEANS
Simulated Score
106
PHILADELPHIA
112
NEW ORLEANS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Pelicans Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Pelicans Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Pelicans (+3.5) Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim Pelicans (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u235.0 Loss
Proj Total: 226.0
D
Sim u235.0 Win
Proj Total: 218.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 21, 2026 PHI @ NO 111 - 126
Jan 31, 2026 NO @ PHI 114 - 124
Mar 24, 2025 PHI @ NO 99 - 112
Jan 10, 2025 NO @ PHI 123 - 115
Mar 8, 2024 NO @ PHI 103 - 95
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +30.4% more
New Orleans: 25.9 vs Philadelphia: 19.8
Field Goal % (L5) +7.7%
New Orleans: 50.2% vs Philadelphia: 42.5%
Blocks (L5) +41.9% more
Philadelphia: 7.9 vs New Orleans: 4.6
Turnovers (L5) +16.6% more
Philadelphia: 15.6 vs New Orleans: 13.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PHI Score 112.0 111
NO Score 114.0 126
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.2 / 31.0 50.0 / 26.0
Assists 25.9 / 19.8 25.0 / 19.0
Blocks 4.6 / 7.9 8.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 50.2 / 42.5 49.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 75.2 / 82.2 76.0 / 82.0
Rebounding 40.3 / 41.5 49.0 / 47.0
Steals 7.9 / 9.4 5.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 13.0 / 15.6 15.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
82%TICKETS18%
78%MONEY22%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
51%MONEY49%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
60%MONEY40%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI Advantage
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
NO
26-56-0 (31.7%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
NO Advantage
45-36-1 (55.6%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2% Total +/-: +1.4
NO
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NO
PHI
NO
PHI
ML
62% 98-61
63% 69-40
58% 48-35
48% 45-48
ATS
68% 107-51-1
65% 71-38
58% 48-35
48% 45-48
TTL
75% 119-40
55% 60-49
100% 83-0
100% 93-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
yahoo 2 minutes ago
Bill Self's Revamped Kansas Roster Built for Another National Ti…
si 5 hours, 41 minutes ago
Luka Doncic Embraces Lakers Legacy: 'It's an Honor, Not Pressure…
yahoo 5 hours, 52 minutes ago
Boston Celtics' Young Wings Face Huge Opportunity After Jaylen B…
yahoo 5 hours, 56 minutes ago
Phillies' 2027 Forecast: Four Farmhands Ready to Step Up
si 12 hours, 9 minutes ago