Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bearcats @ River Hawks BING @ UML

BINGHAMTON

BEARCATSBING

6-22  |  Road

79
FINAL
Sat, Feb 21 • 1:00 PM ET
Kennedy Family Athletic Complex
View Odds Details →

UMASS LOWELL

RIVER HAWKSUML

12-15  |  Home

92
AI Model Win Probability
BEARCATS
100%
📊
RIVER HAWKS
0%
BEARCATS --
RIVER HAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
UMASS LOWELL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (UMass Lowell)
BearcatsBING (-3.5) 0 River HawksUML (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bearcats Cover

18.4%

River Hawks Cover

81.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UML -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UML)

BING By 1-7 points

12.2%

BING By 8-14 points

4.0%

UML By 1-7 points

24.3%

UML By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
70
BINGHAMTON
79
UMASS LOWELL
Simulated Score
68
BINGHAMTON
75
UMASS LOWELL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI River Hawks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim River Hawks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI River Hawks (+9.5) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim River Hawks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o146.5 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim u146.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 21, 2026 BING @ UML 79 - 92
Jan 10, 2026 UML @ BING 73 - 68
Mar 1, 2025 BING @ UML 53 - 79
Feb 6, 2025 UML @ BING 54 - 66
Feb 22, 2024 BING @ UML 80 - 87
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +97.6% more
UMass Lowell: 3.3 vs Binghamton: 1.7
Rebounding (L5) +43.6% more
UMass Lowell: 40.0 vs Binghamton: 27.9
Steals (L5) +16.9% more
Binghamton: 6.9 vs UMass Lowell: 5.7
Free Throw % (L5) +14.1%
Binghamton: 80.4% vs UMass Lowell: 66.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BING Score 70.0 79
UML Score 79.0 92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.5 / 42.9 50.0 / 55.0
Assists 11.4 / 11.4 22.0 / 18.0
Blocks 3.3 / 1.7 0.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 49.6 / 48.6 59.0 / 63.0
Free Throw % 66.3 / 80.4 67.0 / 45.0
Rebounding 40.0 / 27.9 31.0 / 22.0
Steals 5.7 / 6.9 3.0 / 0.0
Turnovers 10.8 / 10.6 5.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
1%TICKETS99%
1%MONEY99%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
19%MONEY81%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
25%MONEY75%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BING
8-23-0 (25.8%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -1.7
UML Advantage
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BING
14-13-0 (51.8%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -1.7
UML Advantage
16-14-0 (53.3%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
BING
15-12-0
O: 55.6% / U: 44.4% Total +/-: +5.2
UML
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: +1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UML
BING
UML
BING
ML
70% 23-10
67% 20-10
58% 19-14
57% 17-13
ATS
70% 23-10
73% 22-8
58% 19-14
57% 17-13
TTL
58% 19-14
70% 21-9
100% 33-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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