Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Seahawks @ Red Flash WAG @ SFPA

WAGNER

SEAHAWKSWAG

10-16  |  Road

65
FINAL
Sat, Feb 21 • 2:00 PM ET
DeGol Arena
View Odds Details →

SAINT FRANCIS

RED FLASHSFPA

6-21  |  Home

56
AI Model Win Probability
SEAHAWKS
0%
📊
RED FLASH
100%
SEAHAWKS --
RED FLASH --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
SAINT FRANCIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
SeahawksWAG (-3.5) 0 Red FlashSFPA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Seahawks Cover

46.0%

Red Flash Cover

54.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SFPA +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SFPA)

WAG By 1-7 points

26.2%

WAG By 8-14 points

16.9%

SFPA By 1-7 points

24.3%

SFPA By 8-14 points

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
73
WAGNER
72
SAINT FRANCIS
Simulated Score
66
WAGNER
70
SAINT FRANCIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Seahawks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Red Flash Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Red Flash (+1.5) Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim Red Flash (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u152.0 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim u152.0 Win
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 21, 2026 WAG @ SFPA 65 - 56
Jan 8, 2026 SFPA @ WAG 71 - 69
Mar 5, 2025 WAG @ SFPA 55 - 58
Jan 26, 2025 WAG @ SFPA 68 - 66
Jan 20, 2025 SFPA @ WAG 68 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +75.7% more
Wagner: 3.1 vs Saint Francis: 0.7
Rebounding (L5) +17.1% more
Wagner: 37.5 vs Saint Francis: 31.0
Assists (L5) +27.7% more
Saint Francis: 12.8 vs Wagner: 10.0
Steals (L5) +26.4% more
Saint Francis: 7.5 vs Wagner: 5.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WAG Score 73.0 65
SFPA Score 72.0 56
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 44.3 / 38.3 27.0 / 26.0
Assists 12.8 / 10.0 14.0 / 10.0
Blocks 0.7 / 3.1 2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 47.3 / 42.3 36.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 71.4 / 71.2 47.0 / 78.0
Rebounding 31.0 / 37.5 34.0 / 39.0
Steals 7.5 / 5.9 11.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 14.8 / 13.8 12.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
54%MONEY46%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
67%MONEY33%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
32%TICKETS68%
61%MONEY39%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WAG Advantage
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-: +2.1
SFPA
7-24-0 (22.6%)
Margin: -9.5 ATS +/-: -1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WAG Advantage
16-12-0 (57.1%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-: +2.1
SFPA
13-15-1 (46.4%)
Margin: -9.5 ATS +/-: -1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
WAG
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4% Total +/-: +4.4
SFPA
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3% Total +/-: +5.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SFPA
WAG
SFPA
WAG
ML
68% 21-10
63% 19-11
67% 20-10
57% 17-13
ATS
68% 21-10
60% 18-12
67% 20-10
57% 17-13
TTL
58% 18-13
53% 16-14
100% 30-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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