LOYOLA MARYLAND
GREYHOUNDSL-MD
11-17 | Road
98
COLGATE
RAIDERSCOLG
16-12 | Home
101
AI Model Win Probability
GREYHOUNDS
0%
RAIDERS
100%
GREYHOUNDS
--
RAIDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
160.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+6.0
COLGATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around COLG +6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COLG)
L-MD By 1-7 points
26.8%
L-MD By 8-14 points
24.3%
COLG By 1-7 points
16.9%
COLG By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Loyola Maryland
83
LOYOLA MARYLAND
Colgate
77
COLGATE
Simulated Score
Loyola Maryland
64
LOYOLA MARYLAND
Colgate
77
COLGATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Greyhounds
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Raiders
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Raiders (+8.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +6.0
D
Sim
Raiders (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o150.5
Win
Proj Total: 160.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 5, 2026
L-MD @ COLG
77 - 90
Feb 21, 2026
L-MD @ COLG
98 - 101
Jan 14, 2026
COLG @ L-MD
86 - 80
Feb 23, 2025
COLG @ L-MD
65 - 84
Feb 8, 2025
L-MD @ COLG
68 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+43.2% more
Loyola Maryland: 4.4
vs
Colgate: 2.5
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.3%
Loyola Maryland: 44.9%
vs
Colgate: 42.6%
Steals (L5)
+18.8% more
Colgate: 5.8
vs
Loyola Maryland: 4.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.0%
Colgate: 39.3%
vs
Loyola Maryland: 33.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
L-MD Score
83.0
98
COLG Score
77.0
101
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.3 / 33.3
30.0 / 39.0
Assists
11.6 / 12.3
18.0 / 17.0
Blocks
2.5 / 4.4
7.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
42.6 / 44.9
48.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
77.9 / 75.9
89.0 / 78.0
Rebounding
32.8 / 34.5
44.0 / 41.0
Steals
5.8 / 4.9
4.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
9.2 / 8.7
10.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
L-MD
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -1.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
COLG
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
L-MD
Advantage
15-14-1
(51.7%)
Margin: -1.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
COLG
12-19-0
(38.7%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
L-MD
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: +4.5
COLG
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +4.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COLG
L-MD
COLG
L-MD
ML
59%
19-13
53%
17-15
69%
22-10
66%
21-11
ATS
72%
23-9
56%
18-14
70%
23-10
66%
21-11
TTL
78%
25-7
44%
14-18
100%
33-0
100%
32-0
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