ORLANDO
MAGICORL
29-25 | Road
110
PHOENIX
SUNSPHX
32-24 | Home
113
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
0%
SUNS
100%
MAGIC
--
SUNS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
231.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
PHOENIX
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PHX +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHX)
ORL By 1-7 points
26.2%
ORL By 8-14 points
16.9%
PHX By 1-7 points
24.3%
PHX By 8-14 points
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Orlando
116
ORLANDO
Phoenix
115
PHOENIX
Simulated Score
Orlando
108
ORLANDO
Phoenix
115
PHOENIX
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Magic
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Suns
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Suns (+2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim
Suns (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o217.5
Win
Proj Total: 231.0
D
Sim
u217.5
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 31, 2026
PHX @ ORL
111 - 115
Feb 21, 2026
ORL @ PHX
110 - 113
Dec 8, 2024
PHX @ ORL
110 - 115
Nov 18, 2024
ORL @ PHX
109 - 99
Jan 28, 2024
PHX @ ORL
98 - 113
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+41.9% more
Orlando: 12.5
vs
Phoenix: 7.3
Blocks (L5)
+25.6% more
Orlando: 5.0
vs
Phoenix: 3.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+15.2%
Orlando: 84.5%
vs
Phoenix: 69.3%
Assists (L5)
+12.3% more
Orlando: 28.2
vs
Phoenix: 24.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ORL Score
116.0
110
PHX Score
115.0
113
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.8 / 42.2
29.0 / 26.0
Assists
24.7 / 28.2
20.0 / 24.0
Blocks
3.8 / 5.0
4.0 / 15.0
Field Goal %
43.0 / 46.7
34.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
69.3 / 84.5
71.0 / 84.0
Rebounding
44.1 / 38.3
65.0 / 53.0
Steals
7.3 / 12.5
11.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
12.9 / 11.3
9.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL
Advantage
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
PHX
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
PHX
Advantage
50-38-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
PHX
40-48-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHX
ORL
PHX
ORL
ML
57%
60-45
61%
65-42
51%
45-43
56%
51-40
ATS
58%
59-43-3
64%
68-38-1
51%
45-43
56%
51-40
TTL
59%
61-42-2
57%
61-46
100%
88-0
100%
91-0
Contextual Game News
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
Chicago Bulls Edge Phoenix Suns 124-117 in Preseason Opener
Caleb Wilson's Bulls Debut: Rookie Brings Bold Talk and Mixed Re…
Phoenix Suns 2026-27 Season Preview: Can Devin Booker and the Re…
Desmond Bane Returns to FedExForum as Grizzlies Host Magic in Pr…