DETROIT
PISTONSDET
41-13 | Road
126
CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
24-32 | Home
110
AI Model Win Probability
PISTONS
0%
BULLS
100%
PISTONS
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
248.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DET -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
DET By 1-7 points
13.7%
DET By 8-14 points
24.3%
CHI By 1-7 points
4.0%
CHI By 8-14 points
0.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
132
DETROIT
Chicago
116
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Detroit
109
DETROIT
Chicago
118
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Pistons
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulls
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Pistons (+10.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim
Bulls (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o235.5
Win
Proj Total: 248.0
D
Sim
u235.5
Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
DET @ CHI
126 - 110
Jan 7, 2026
CHI @ DET
93 - 108
Nov 12, 2025
CHI @ DET
113 - 124
Oct 22, 2025
DET @ CHI
111 - 115
Feb 12, 2025
DET @ CHI
128 - 110
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+19.1% more
Detroit: 10.3
vs
Chicago: 8.3
Blocks (L5)
+15.0% more
Detroit: 6.4
vs
Chicago: 5.4
Assists (L5)
+11.2% more
Detroit: 26.6
vs
Chicago: 23.6
Rebounding (L5)
+8.2% more
Detroit: 44.4
vs
Chicago: 40.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
132.0
126
CHI Score
116.0
110
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.4 / 37.2
43.0 / 45.0
Assists
23.6 / 26.6
29.0 / 34.0
Blocks
5.4 / 6.4
13.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
43.8 / 49.3
45.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
82.2 / 80.0
71.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
40.7 / 44.4
44.0 / 50.0
Steals
8.3 / 10.3
10.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
18.0 / 13.7
23.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
Advantage
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
DET
CHI
DET
ML
56%
54-42
55%
64-53
57%
46-35
49%
47-49
ATS
65%
62-33-1
53%
60-54-3
57%
46-35
49%
47-49
TTL
58%
56-40
60%
70-46-1
100%
81-0
100%
96-0
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