CAL STATE FULLERTON
TITANSCSUF
14-14 | Road
88
CAL STATE BAKERSFIELD
ROADRUNNERSCSUB
8-19 | Home
80
AI Model Win Probability
TITANS
100%
ROADRUNNERS
0%
TITANS
--
ROADRUNNERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
CAL STATE BAKERSFIELD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Cal State Bakersfield)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CSUB -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CSUB)
CSUF By 1-7 points
20.1%
CSUF By 8-14 points
9.3%
CSUB By 1-7 points
27.4%
CSUB By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Cal State Fullerton
71
CAL STATE FULLERTON
Cal State Bakersfield
75
CAL STATE BAKERSFIELD
Simulated Score
Cal State Fullerton
65
CAL STATE FULLERTON
Cal State Bakersfield
70
CAL STATE BAKERSFIELD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Roadrunners
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Roadrunners
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Roadrunners (+5.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Roadrunners (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u160.5
Loss
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim
u160.5
Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
CSUF @ CSUB
88 - 80
Feb 7, 2026
CSUB @ CSUF
66 - 82
Feb 15, 2025
CSUF @ CSUB
54 - 91
Jan 23, 2025
CSUB @ CSUF
71 - 68
Feb 10, 2024
CSUF @ CSUB
71 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+30.6% more
Cal State Bakersfield: 5.4
vs
Cal State Fullerton: 4.1
Turnovers (L5)
+23.9% more
Cal State Bakersfield: 13.7
vs
Cal State Fullerton: 11.1
Rebounding (L5)
+9.6% more
Cal State Bakersfield: 35.0
vs
Cal State Fullerton: 32.0
Assists (L5)
+38.6% more
Cal State Fullerton: 17.6
vs
Cal State Bakersfield: 10.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CSUF Score
71.0
88
CSUB Score
75.0
80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
22.1 / 35.5
28.0 / 48.0
Assists
10.8 / 17.6
10.0 / 18.0
Blocks
5.4 / 4.1
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
39.1 / 48.7
42.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
75.5 / 76.6
83.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
35.0 / 32.0
37.0 / 35.0
Steals
6.0 / 6.0
3.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
13.7 / 11.1
10.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CSUF
Advantage
18-16-0
(52.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-: +3.0
CSUB
8-24-0
(25.0%)
Margin: -9.1
ATS +/-: -3.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CSUF
Advantage
19-11-2
(63.3%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-: +3.0
CSUB
11-18-1
(37.9%)
Margin: -9.1
ATS +/-: -3.6
⚖️ Over/Under
CSUF
13-19-0
O: 40.6% / U: 59.4%
Total +/-: +0.6
CSUB
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: +5.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CSUB
CSUF
CSUB
CSUF
ML
55%
17-14
68%
23-11
71%
22-9
76%
26-8
ATS
61%
19-12
68%
23-11
71%
22-9
76%
26-8
TTL
58%
18-13
59%
20-14
100%
31-0
100%
34-0
Contextual Game News
