WYOMING
COWBOYSWYO
14-12 | Road
70
GRAND CANYON
LOPESGCU
17-9 | Home
65
AI Model Win Probability
COWBOYS
100%
LOPES
0%
COWBOYS
--
LOPES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
163.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
GRAND CANYON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Grand Canyon)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GCU -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GCU)
WYO By 1-7 points
24.3%
WYO By 8-14 points
13.7%
GCU By 1-7 points
26.2%
GCU By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Wyoming
81
WYOMING
Grand Canyon
82
GRAND CANYON
Simulated Score
Wyoming
70
WYOMING
Grand Canyon
78
GRAND CANYON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Lopes
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Lopes
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Lopes (+9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Lopes (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o145.5
Loss
Proj Total: 163.0
D
Sim
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
WYO @ GCU
70 - 65
Dec 20, 2025
GCU @ WYO
82 - 70
Dec 3, 2022
GCU @ WYO
66 - 58
Nov 22, 2021
WYO @ GCU
68 - 61
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+47.8% more
Grand Canyon: 3.0
vs
Wyoming: 2.1
Turnovers (L5)
+40.4% more
Grand Canyon: 12.3
vs
Wyoming: 8.8
Steals (L5)
+36.6% more
Grand Canyon: 7.0
vs
Wyoming: 5.1
Rebounding (L5)
+17.8% more
Grand Canyon: 35.8
vs
Wyoming: 30.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WYO Score
81.0
70
GCU Score
82.0
65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.5 / 36.8
35.0 / 27.0
Assists
13.1 / 15.4
9.0 / 13.0
Blocks
3.0 / 2.1
3.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
47.2 / 45.1
41.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
76.8 / 77.1
74.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
35.8 / 30.4
36.0 / 38.0
Steals
7.0 / 5.1
4.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
12.3 / 8.8
15.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WYO
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
GCU
Advantage
20-12-0
(62.5%)
Margin: 7.0
ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WYO
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
GCU
Advantage
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 7.0
ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
WYO
16-16-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.7
GCU
13-18-1
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: -3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GCU
WYO
GCU
WYO
ML
66%
21-11
52%
17-16
68%
21-10
70%
23-10
ATS
72%
23-9
64%
21-12
68%
21-10
70%
23-10
TTL
44%
14-18
64%
21-12
100%
31-0
100%
33-0
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