DARTMOUTH
BIG GREENDART
10-13 | Road
64
COLUMBIA
LIONSCOLU
15-9 | Home
63
AI Model Win Probability
BIG GREEN
100%
LIONS
0%
BIG GREEN
--
LIONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
124.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
COLUMBIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Columbia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around COLU -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COLU)
DART By 1-7 points
23.0%
DART By 8-14 points
12.2%
COLU By 1-7 points
26.8%
COLU By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Dartmouth
61
DARTMOUTH
Columbia
63
COLUMBIA
Simulated Score
Dartmouth
68
DARTMOUTH
Columbia
72
COLUMBIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Lions
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Lions
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Lions (+7)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim
Lions (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 124.0
D
Sim
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
DART @ COLU
64 - 63
Jan 24, 2026
COLU @ DART
79 - 69
Feb 14, 2025
COLU @ DART
56 - 78
Feb 1, 2025
DART @ COLU
95 - 89
Feb 16, 2024
DART @ COLU
63 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+12.0% more
Columbia: 4.0
vs
Dartmouth: 3.6
Assists (L5)
+11.3% more
Columbia: 14.8
vs
Dartmouth: 13.3
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.3%
Columbia: 49.9%
vs
Dartmouth: 44.7%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.1%
Columbia: 40.1%
vs
Dartmouth: 35.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DART Score
61.0
64
COLU Score
63.0
63
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.1 / 35.9
30.0 / 26.0
Assists
14.8 / 13.3
14.0 / 14.0
Blocks
2.8 / 2.7
0.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
49.9 / 44.7
38.0 / 36.0
Free Throw %
53.0 / 81.1
67.0 / 94.0
Rebounding
31.3 / 29.5
45.0 / 34.0
Steals
4.0 / 3.6
5.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
11.7 / 13.9
10.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DART
11-16-0
(40.7%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.5
COLU
Advantage
16-12-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DART
11-14-0
(44.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.5
COLU
Advantage
13-13-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
⚖️ Over/Under
DART
12-13-0
O: 48.0% / U: 52.0%
Total +/-: +0.5
COLU
14-12-0
O: 53.8% / U: 46.2%
Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COLU
DART
COLU
DART
ML
44%
12-15
62%
16-10
56%
15-12
50%
13-13
ATS
59%
16-11
65%
17-9
56%
15-12
50%
13-13
TTL
74%
20-7
88%
23-3
100%
27-0
100%
26-0
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