Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Screaming Eagles @ Panthers USI @ EIU

SOUTHERN INDIANA

SCREAMING EAGLESUSI

6-21  |  Road

70
FINAL
Sat, Feb 21 • 4:30 PM ET
Groniger Arena
View Odds Details →

EASTERN ILLINOIS

PANTHERSEIU

11-17  |  Home

68
AI Model Win Probability
SCREAMING EAGLES
0%
📊
PANTHERS
100%
SCREAMING EAGLES --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
154.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+6.0
EASTERN ILLINOIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Screaming EaglesUSI (-3.5) 0 PanthersEIU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Screaming Eagles Cover

27.4%

Panthers Cover

72.6%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around EIU +6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EIU)

USI By 1-7 points

26.8%

USI By 8-14 points

24.3%

EIU By 1-7 points

16.9%

EIU By 8-14 points

6.8%

AI Model Projected Score
80
SOUTHERN INDIANA
74
EASTERN ILLINOIS
Simulated Score
68
SOUTHERN INDIANA
72
EASTERN ILLINOIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Screaming Eagles Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (+6.5) Win
Proj Spread: +6.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o132.5 Win
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Sim u132.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 21, 2026 USI @ EIU 70 - 68
Jan 22, 2026 EIU @ USI 59 - 51
Feb 20, 2025 EIU @ USI 63 - 54
Jan 25, 2025 USI @ EIU 64 - 60
Feb 8, 2024 EIU @ USI 81 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +24.8% more
Eastern Illinois: 12.1 vs Southern Indiana: 9.7
Steals (L5) +20.3% more
Eastern Illinois: 7.9 vs Southern Indiana: 6.6
Free Throw % (L5) +11.7%
Eastern Illinois: 77.6% vs Southern Indiana: 66.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
USI Score 80.0 70
EIU Score 74.0 68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.5 / 28.3 30.0 / 53.0
Assists 12.1 / 9.7 13.0 / 15.0
Blocks 3.2 / 3.2 3.0 / 8.0
Field Goal % 42.2 / 41.5 39.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 77.6 / 66.0 79.0 / 83.0
Rebounding 32.9 / 34.5 40.0 / 31.0
Steals 7.9 / 6.6 7.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 10.1 / 10.3 10.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
USI
7-23-0 (23.3%)
Margin: -5.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
EIU Advantage
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
USI
11-16-1 (40.7%)
Margin: -5.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
EIU Advantage
15-13-2 (53.6%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
USI
11-17-0
O: 39.3% / U: 60.7% Total +/-: -3.3
EIU
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: -1.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EIU
USI
EIU
USI
ML
56% 18-14
67% 20-10
74% 23-8
61% 17-11
ATS
50% 16-16
70% 21-9
74% 23-8
61% 17-11
TTL
69% 22-10
73% 22-8
100% 31-0
100% 28-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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