Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Coyotes @ Golden Eagles SDAK @ ORU

SOUTH DAKOTA

COYOTESSDAK

14-14  |  Road

62
FINAL
Sat, Feb 21 • 8:00 PM ET
Mabee Center
View Odds Details →

ORAL ROBERTS

GOLDEN EAGLESORU

6-22  |  Home

67
AI Model Win Probability
COYOTES
100%
📊
GOLDEN EAGLES
0%
COYOTES --
GOLDEN EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
ORAL ROBERTS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Oral Roberts)
CoyotesSDAK (-3.5) 0 Golden EaglesORU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Coyotes Cover

46.0%

Golden Eagles Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ORU -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORU)

SDAK By 1-7 points

24.3%

SDAK By 8-14 points

13.7%

ORU By 1-7 points

26.2%

ORU By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
73
SOUTH DAKOTA
74
ORAL ROBERTS
Simulated Score
74
SOUTH DAKOTA
81
ORAL ROBERTS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Golden Eagles Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Eagles Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Golden Eagles (+1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Golden Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u151.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim u151.5 Win
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 21, 2026 SDAK @ ORU 62 - 67
Jan 29, 2026 ORU @ SDAK 69 - 77
Feb 8, 2025 SDAK @ ORU 75 - 74
Jan 16, 2025 ORU @ SDAK 82 - 92
Mar 8, 2024 SDAK @ ORU 62 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +41.2% more
Oral Roberts: 3.4 vs South Dakota: 2.4
Steals (L5) +33.8% more
Oral Roberts: 5.3 vs South Dakota: 4.0
Turnovers (L5) +13.2% more
Oral Roberts: 12.4 vs South Dakota: 11.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.9%
Oral Roberts: 31.1% vs South Dakota: 27.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SDAK Score 73.0 62
ORU Score 74.0 67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.1 / 27.3 18.0 / 17.0
Assists 13.8 / 13.8 6.0 / 10.0
Blocks 3.4 / 2.4 3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 43.4 / 45.9 39.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 76.0 / 72.7 78.0 / 58.0
Rebounding 32.5 / 31.5 40.0 / 31.0
Steals 5.3 / 4.0 9.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 12.4 / 11.0 12.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
72%MONEY28%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
87%MONEY13%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
78%MONEY22%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SDAK Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-: +0.7
ORU
10-23-0 (30.3%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SDAK Advantage
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-: +0.7
ORU
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
SDAK
12-17-0
O: 41.4% / U: 58.6% Total +/-: -1.1
ORU
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORU
SDAK
ORU
SDAK
ML
85% 28-5
70% 21-9
73% 24-9
63% 19-11
ATS
82% 27-6
70% 21-9
73% 24-9
63% 19-11
TTL
61% 20-13
67% 20-10
100% 33-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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