OHIO
BOBCATSOHIO
14-13 | Road
74
NORTHERN ILLINOIS
HUSKIESNIU
9-16 | Home
66
AI Model Win Probability
BOBCATS
0%
HUSKIES
100%
BOBCATS
--
HUSKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
OHIO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Ohio)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around OHIO -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OHIO)
OHIO By 1-7 points
10.7%
OHIO By 8-14 points
21.6%
NIU By 1-7 points
2.7%
NIU By 8-14 points
0.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Ohio
82
OHIO
Northern Illinois
64
NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Simulated Score
Ohio
68
OHIO
Northern Illinois
75
NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bobcats
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Huskies
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bobcats (-6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim
Huskies (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o132.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim
u132.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
OHIO @ NIU
74 - 66
Jan 20, 2026
NIU @ OHIO
77 - 80
Jan 11, 2025
NIU @ OHIO
70 - 108
Feb 24, 2024
OHIO @ NIU
80 - 59
Jan 6, 2024
NIU @ OHIO
66 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+14.8% more
Ohio: 3.9
vs
Northern Illinois: 3.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.7%
Ohio: 74.2%
vs
Northern Illinois: 64.5%
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.8%
Ohio: 45.2%
vs
Northern Illinois: 39.5%
Turnovers (L5)
+71.7% more
Northern Illinois: 14.8
vs
Ohio: 8.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OHIO Score
82.0
74
NIU Score
64.0
66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.5 / 32.3
47.0 / 38.0
Assists
13.5 / 13.3
16.0 / 16.0
Blocks
3.3 / 3.9
0.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
39.5 / 45.2
50.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
64.5 / 74.2
50.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
33.5 / 32.7
30.0 / 31.0
Steals
5.1 / 4.5
4.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
14.8 / 8.6
14.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OHIO
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -3.0
NIU
9-21-0
(30.0%)
Margin: -8.3
ATS +/-: -3.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OHIO
12-18-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -3.0
NIU
Advantage
13-15-0
(46.4%)
Margin: -8.3
ATS +/-: -3.1
⚖️ Over/Under
OHIO
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +1.5
NIU
8-20-0
O: 28.6% / U: 71.4%
Total +/-: -4.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NIU
OHIO
NIU
OHIO
ML
67%
20-10
65%
20-11
66%
19-10
63%
19-11
ATS
63%
19-11
68%
21-10
66%
19-10
63%
19-11
TTL
67%
20-10
61%
19-12
100%
29-0
100%
30-0
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