Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Rams @ Explorers URI @ LAS

RHODE ISLAND

RAMSURI

15-11  |  Road

46
FINAL
Sat, Feb 21 • 2:30 PM ET
John Glaser Arena
View Odds Details →

LA SALLE

EXPLORERSLAS

7-19  |  Home

59
AI Model Win Probability
RAMS
100%
📊
EXPLORERS
0%
RAMS --
EXPLORERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
LA SALLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (La Salle)
RamsURI (-3.5) 0 ExplorersLAS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rams Cover

42.1%

Explorers Cover

57.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAS -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAS)

URI By 1-7 points

23.0%

URI By 8-14 points

12.2%

LAS By 1-7 points

26.8%

LAS By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
67
RHODE ISLAND
69
LA SALLE
Simulated Score
68
RHODE ISLAND
72
LA SALLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Explorers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Explorers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Explorers (+3.5) Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim Explorers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o135.5 Loss
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim u135.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 21, 2026 URI @ LAS 46 - 59
Jan 7, 2026 LAS @ URI 79 - 72
Feb 15, 2025 LAS @ URI 71 - 86
Jan 25, 2025 URI @ LAS 64 - 70
Feb 25, 2024 URI @ LAS 61 - 84
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +9.3%
Rhode Island: 35.1% vs La Salle: 25.8%
Free Throw % (L5) +6.0%
Rhode Island: 71.8% vs La Salle: 65.8%
Field Goal % (L5) +3.2%
Rhode Island: 42.1% vs La Salle: 38.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
URI Score 67.0 46
LAS Score 69.0 59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 25.8 / 35.1 38.0 / 11.0
Assists 12.2 / 12.8 6.0 / 7.0
Blocks 3.2 / 3.1 2.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 38.9 / 42.1 31.0 / 29.0
Free Throw % 65.8 / 71.8 68.0 / 60.0
Rebounding 34.1 / 32.1 50.0 / 36.0
Steals 7.7 / 8.0 3.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 12.7 / 12.8 14.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
83%TICKETS17%
76%MONEY24%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
68%MONEY32%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
80%TICKETS20%
87%MONEY13%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
URI Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.7 ATS +/-: -1.0
LAS
9-23-0 (28.1%)
Margin: -6.9 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
URI
13-18-1 (41.9%)
Margin: 1.7 ATS +/-: -1.0
LAS Advantage
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -6.9 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
URI
13-19-0
O: 40.6% / U: 59.4% Total +/-: -5.9
LAS
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAS
URI
LAS
URI
ML
69% 22-10
62% 20-12
69% 22-10
59% 19-13
ATS
78% 25-7
56% 18-14
69% 22-10
59% 19-13
TTL
66% 21-11
56% 18-14
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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