HOFSTRA
PRIDEHOF
18-10 | Road
82
NORTHEASTERN
HUSKIESNE
6-19 | Home
68
AI Model Win Probability
PRIDE
0%
HUSKIES
100%
PRIDE
--
HUSKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
165.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
HOFSTRA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Hofstra)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around HOF -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOF)
HOF By 1-7 points
6.8%
HOF By 8-14 points
16.9%
NE By 1-7 points
1.4%
NE By 8-14 points
0.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Hofstra
93
HOFSTRA
Northeastern
72
NORTHEASTERN
Simulated Score
Hofstra
77
HOFSTRA
Northeastern
72
NORTHEASTERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Pride
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pride
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pride (+7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim
Pride (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o145.0
Win
Proj Total: 165.0
D
Sim
u145.0
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
HOF @ NE
82 - 68
Feb 5, 2026
NE @ HOF
63 - 80
Feb 6, 2025
NE @ HOF
77 - 68
Jan 4, 2025
HOF @ NE
55 - 37
Feb 17, 2024
NE @ HOF
62 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+29.8% more
Hofstra: 4.5
vs
Northeastern: 3.2
Rebounding (L5)
+20.9% more
Hofstra: 39.0
vs
Northeastern: 30.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.1%
Hofstra: 35.1%
vs
Northeastern: 30.0%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.4%
Hofstra: 45.5%
vs
Northeastern: 41.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HOF Score
93.0
82
NE Score
72.0
68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.0 / 35.1
26.0 / 42.0
Assists
12.8 / 12.9
17.0 / 9.0
Blocks
3.2 / 4.5
1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
41.1 / 45.5
42.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
70.7 / 74.3
67.0 / 68.0
Rebounding
30.8 / 39.0
38.0 / 35.0
Steals
6.4 / 4.7
4.0 / 1.0
Turnovers
10.9 / 8.9
6.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOF
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.7
ATS +/-: +4.0
NE
7-24-0
(22.6%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: -2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOF
Advantage
21-12-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 8.7
ATS +/-: +4.0
NE
11-20-0
(35.5%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: -2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
HOF
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: +0.2
NE
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5%
Total +/-: +7.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NE
HOF
NE
HOF
ML
70%
21-9
77%
27-8
60%
18-12
71%
25-10
ATS
63%
19-11
83%
29-6
60%
18-12
71%
25-10
TTL
53%
16-14
51%
18-17
100%
30-0
100%
35-0
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