HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
HUSKIESHCU
10-17 | Road
53
NORTHWESTERN STATE
DEMONSNWST
8-19 | Home
71
AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
100%
DEMONS
0%
HUSKIES
--
DEMONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
NORTHWESTERN STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Northwestern State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NWST -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NWST)
HCU By 1-7 points
15.3%
HCU By 8-14 points
5.8%
NWST By 1-7 points
26.2%
NWST By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Houston Christian
68
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
Northwestern State
75
NORTHWESTERN STATE
Simulated Score
Houston Christian
69
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
Northwestern State
73
NORTHWESTERN STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Demons
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Demons
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Demons (-2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Demons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o133.5
Loss
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim
u133.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
HCU @ NWST
53 - 71
Jan 19, 2026
NWST @ HCU
80 - 82
Mar 1, 2025
HCU @ NWST
56 - 61
Dec 7, 2024
NWST @ HCU
64 - 57
Feb 24, 2024
NWST @ HCU
86 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+19.0% more
Houston Christian: 4.1
vs
Northwestern State: 3.3
Assists (L5)
+15.7% more
Houston Christian: 14.1
vs
Northwestern State: 11.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HCU Score
68.0
53
NWST Score
75.0
71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.5 / 26.2
29.0 / 28.0
Assists
11.9 / 14.1
6.0 / 5.0
Blocks
3.3 / 4.1
1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
42.9 / 42.4
48.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
76.9 / 75.8
79.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
33.0 / 32.7
35.0 / 32.0
Steals
6.2 / 5.9
4.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
11.1 / 10.7
7.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HCU
Advantage
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.9
NWST
10-22-0
(31.3%)
Margin: -4.1
ATS +/-: +0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HCU
14-15-1
(48.3%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.9
NWST
Advantage
16-13-1
(55.2%)
Margin: -4.1
ATS +/-: +0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
HCU
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: -0.1
NWST
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NWST
HCU
NWST
HCU
ML
68%
21-10
68%
21-10
77%
23-7
81%
25-6
ATS
68%
21-10
58%
18-13
77%
23-7
81%
26-6
TTL
39%
12-19
68%
21-10
100%
30-0
100%
32-0
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