WESTERN CAROLINA
CATAMOUNTSWCU
11-15 | Road
81
VMI
KEYDETSVMI
6-22 | Home
62
AI Model Win Probability
CATAMOUNTS
0%
KEYDETS
100%
CATAMOUNTS
--
KEYDETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
148.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
WESTERN CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Western Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WCU -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WCU)
WCU By 1-7 points
16.9%
WCU By 8-14 points
26.2%
VMI By 1-7 points
5.8%
VMI By 8-14 points
1.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Western Carolina
81
WESTERN CAROLINA
VMI
67
VMI
Simulated Score
Western Carolina
75
WESTERN CAROLINA
VMI
68
VMI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Catamounts
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Catamounts
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Catamounts (+9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Catamounts (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Sim
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
WCU @ VMI
81 - 62
Jan 24, 2026
VMI @ WCU
58 - 88
Feb 1, 2025
VMI @ WCU
80 - 76
Jan 15, 2025
WCU @ VMI
50 - 66
Feb 24, 2024
WCU @ VMI
84 - 51
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+19.5% more
Western Carolina: 36.0
vs
VMI: 29.0
Field Goal % (L5)
+7.4%
Western Carolina: 47.2%
vs
VMI: 39.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.9%
Western Carolina: 39.5%
vs
VMI: 32.5%
Steals (L5)
+27.2% more
VMI: 8.2
vs
Western Carolina: 6.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WCU Score
81.0
81
VMI Score
67.0
62
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.5 / 39.5
38.0 / 33.0
Assists
12.8 / 11.9
13.0 / 20.0
Blocks
1.9 / 2.1
1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
39.8 / 47.2
39.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
83.9 / 70.8
64.0 / 88.0
Rebounding
29.0 / 36.0
30.0 / 41.0
Steals
8.2 / 6.5
1.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
9.9 / 9.7
7.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WCU
Advantage
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +1.8
VMI
6-26-0
(18.8%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -5.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WCU
Advantage
14-15-0
(48.3%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +1.8
VMI
9-20-0
(31.0%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -5.4
⚖️ Over/Under
WCU
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3%
Total +/-: +2.5
VMI
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VMI
WCU
VMI
WCU
ML
53%
17-15
63%
19-11
84%
27-5
76%
22-7
ATS
50%
16-16
73%
22-8
84%
27-5
77%
23-7
TTL
62%
20-12
67%
20-10
100%
32-0
100%
30-0